World Politics · resolved market
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59076376e762b077dee421d5e54824294ebd31942a9780a9b96390728a6a018b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,084,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,159,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,084,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 1c | 849,659$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.39 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 8cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 1c | 283,041$2,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.39 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 207,141$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.74 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 1c | 201,521$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.24 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 133,369$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.29 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 1c | 125,088$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 116,346$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.65 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Yes | 0c | 109,417$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c3…993ebacked Yes | 0c | 102,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 89,982$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.53 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 0c | 63,762$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 62,413$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 1c | 62,000$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe448…f5cbbacked Yes | 1c | 54,749$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…8341backed Yes | 1c | 53,500$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,709$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.57 | 182 | 14.8%27 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +218.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 1c | 48,174$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.54 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 43,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 1c | 42,960$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 0c | 40,235$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 1c | 33,000$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +665.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 32,256$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed Yes | 1c | 31,470$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.82 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 2c | 28,740$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 1c | 27,398$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,835$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 2c | 22,058$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes | 1c | 21,750$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 0c | 21,519$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 21,376$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.52 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 19,984$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Yes | 1c | 19,444$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 1c | 19,258$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.58 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 0c | 18,690$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Yes | 0c | 17,196$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 0c | 16,350$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7416…2995backed Yes | 1c | 13,305$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 0c | 12,993$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 11,725$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 1c | 11,162$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +1,419.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 1c | 10,662$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,622$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 21cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…3d69backed Yes | 1c | 10,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 1c | 10,042$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…8b95backed Yes | 1c | 9,745$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 1c | 9,715$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…4981backed Yes | 2c | 8,700$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…9b16backed Yes | 1c | 8,532$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc121…ee88backed Yes | 0c | 8,135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1194…fae4backed Yes | 3c | 7,888$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 1c | 7,648$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 1c | 7,192$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…964dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,675$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 1c | 6,291$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 1c | 5,855$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed Yes | 2c | 5,786$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…4f21backed Yes | 1c | 5,672$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes | 1c | 5,417$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…0c67backed Yes | 1c | 5,410$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +196.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…a3b7backed Yes | 0c | 5,377$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 1c | 5,068$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Yes | 1c | 4,550$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ede…447abacked Yes | 0c | 4,289$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00e…bfd6backed Yes | 1c | 4,270$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…0800backed Yes | 1c | 4,170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…85ddbacked Yes | 2c | 4,058$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,633$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 1c | 3,613$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 2c | 3,480$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…95a5backed Yes | 1c | 3,395$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…6233backed Yes | 2c | 3,190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 31cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…72e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,080$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…183abacked Yes | 1c | 3,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…a307backed Yes | 0c | 3,005$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…35f5backed Yes | 2c | 2,989$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 1c | 2,900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e95…a0e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,734$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0871…96a2backed Yes | 1c | 2,726$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Yes | 1c | 2,692$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f8…d13fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1079…18bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…475dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,308$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Yes | 1c | 2,233$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,193$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4674…10a3backed Yes | 1c | 1,918$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…f4b0backed Yes | 1c | 1,877$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Yes | 1c | 1,675$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes won
- Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.