World Politics · resolved market
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ed2c7b22d8bbf6789e76bdcd88c22b605df53e88c7b57fb3dc48b7ab259a8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,826,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,855,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,826,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd262…8553backed Yes | 1c | 1,100,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…f505backed Yes | 47c | 905,035$426,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426,281.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 70c | 340,180$237,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237,724.58 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db6…1c77backed Yes | 0c | 276,439$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 37c | 256,861$94,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,340.1 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 1c | 224,510$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 42c | 209,953$89,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,945.7 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 11c | 193,038$21,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,677.91 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 9c | 175,574$15,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,292.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +665.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 53c | 168,571$90,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,009.1 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 32c | 149,407$47,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,193.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 146,127$112,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,204.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…a7bdbacked Yes | 56c | 133,612$74,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,363.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked Yes | 71c | 129,641$91,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 75c | 129,008$96,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,297.93 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 35c | 122,967$43,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,752.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes | 75c | 120,793$89,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…a53cbacked No | 36c | 115,000$41,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…4e82backed Yes | 64c | 114,905$73,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,539.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d78…3e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 114,574$7,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,294.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 67c | 113,563$76,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,003.88 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc191…ba36backed Yes | 64c | 111,630$71,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,443.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…370bbacked No | 36c | 111,630$40,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,443.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 31c | 106,909$33,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,759.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…71bbbacked Yes | 48c | 101,010$48,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,355.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 40c | 100,509$40,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,344.24 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5d…40ccbacked Yes | 70c | 100,300$69,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,924.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 64c | 79,994$50,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,888.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 71c | 79,255$56,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,199.24 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…95fabacked Yes | 64c | 77,500$49,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,768.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Yes | 49c | 77,115$37,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,719.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…4981backed Yes | 67c | 77,000$51,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,590 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…9402backed No | 33c | 77,000$25,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,590 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…b785backed Yes | 1c | 70,195$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…ee5ebacked Yes | 75c | 69,000$51,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,621.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 74c | 67,304$50,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,005.65 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 46c | 65,367$30,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,075.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…1386backed Yes | 62c | 64,130$39,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,912.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 70c | 63,373$44,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,232.09 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…4eccbacked Yes | 65c | 62,653$40,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,421.93 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…f860backed Yes | 17c | 62,020$10,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,442.21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…1b01backed Yes | 38c | 59,890$22,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,631.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Yes | 55c | 58,000$31,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,890 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 77c | 57,992$44,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,840.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Yes | 46c | 55,602$25,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,451.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…6613backed Yes | 59c | 53,468$31,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,546.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6186…2b98backed No | 41c | 53,458$21,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,540.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…1b0abacked Yes | 1c | 52,184$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcb…63efbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 28c | 49,012$13,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,702.52 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…96c8backed No | 26c | 49,011$12,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,268.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.61per pick | 14cpaid | +526.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4912backed Yes | 74c | 49,011$36,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,268.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…41d9backed No | 19c | 47,688$9,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,627.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a1…693fbacked Yes | 6c | 47,397$3,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,075.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 67c | 46,830$31,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,600.56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 74c | 45,000$33,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,169.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…f3bcbacked Yes | 1c | 41,850$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…f175backed Yes | 72c | 41,642$30,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,050.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 34c | 41,331$13,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,387.54 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 80c | 40,769$32,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,572.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 71c | 40,413$28,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,650.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 40c | 40,070$16,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,996.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…1531backed No | 35c | 40,065$13,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,154.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…d789backed Yes | 63c | 39,776$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…9fd7backed Yes | 68c | 39,055$26,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,555.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 25c | 38,092$9,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,636.67 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…a7a1backed Yes | 2c | 37,546$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 43c | 36,613$15,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,662.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b1…1306backed Yes | 65c | 36,349$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked No | 43c | 34,967$14,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,968.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…63d5backed Yes | 72c | 34,730$25,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,005.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…b1e0backed Yes | 59c | 33,896$19,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,868.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…7938backed Yes | 1c | 33,600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 60c | 33,586$20,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,065.3 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 75c | 30,851$23,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,245.01 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 42c | 30,633$12,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,662.17 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 37c | 29,657$10,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,874.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 29,500$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 65c | 29,333$19,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,056.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed Yes | 38c | 29,101$11,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,152.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 27,921$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.49 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Yes | 23c | 27,700$6,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…07b4backed Yes | 8c | 27,196$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…a07ebacked Yes | 58c | 26,534$15,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,343.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 66c | 25,890$16,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,913.03 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 9c | 25,745$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,428.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…cb21backed Yes | 0c | 25,690$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 30c | 24,942$7,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,606.86 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 5c | 24,841$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 39c | 24,833$9,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,188.71 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed Yes | 61c | 24,357$14,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,877.04 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…e8b8backed Yes | 66c | 24,108$15,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,997.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b6…8f48backed Yes | 51c | 22,903$11,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,598.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3136backed Yes | 50c | 22,674$11,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,445.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…b165backed Yes | 73c | 22,615$16,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,489.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb1…01acbacked Yes | 67c | 22,299$14,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,925 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…03ecbacked Yes | 43c | 22,013$9,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,404.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 21,979$5,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962.68 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 66c | 21,825$14,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,455.6 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes won
- Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.