TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,598,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,598,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c127,536$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.073614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c84,999$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c44,747$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.24460%0 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c36,693$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.934121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c14,863$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.024521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes0c12,562$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881100%0 W · 110 L-0.4wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefcd…86f7backed Yes1c10,478$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde07…d730backed Yes1c10,478$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c9,472$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.29684.4%3 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+417.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa176…acabbacked Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff2…442fbacked Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc4e…688bbacked Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf72c…9c5ebacked Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…53b3backed Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675b…cf13backed Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9d…bcc5backed Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcafc…95d2backed Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d6…97e6backed Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3be…66c1backed Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d5…9671backed Yes1c9,168$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0188…96eabacked Yes1c9,168$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1345…c9e0backed Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fdc…4478backed Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d30…938abacked Yes1c9,168$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc35c…7cb9backed Yes1c9,168$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65c…a185backed Yes1c9,168$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a7…aed6backed Yes1c9,168$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8794…b45dbacked Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70f…a2c5backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e9…1720backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa995…9357backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f29…ca1dbacked Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde7…9e48backed Yes1c7,858$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b4…34a2backed Yes1c7,858$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8049…13bdbacked Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd972…60bcbacked Yes1c7,858$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffe8…e581backed Yes1c7,858$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…8a3abacked Yes1c7,858$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda30…f4b5backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20c…9518backed Yes1c7,858$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9f…f664backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a58…29a8backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaece…d048backed Yes1c7,858$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fe…877cbacked Yes1c7,858$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9957…87d1backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889a…3e6cbacked Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e74…6064backed Yes1c7,858$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0355…9e9cbacked Yes1c7,858$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x739f…7e1abacked Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ae…97ddbacked Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3d…93c7backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f3…f013backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4a…ed32backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9d9…07fcbacked Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2161…abf5backed Yes1c7,858$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc12a…8b9dbacked Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f5…39a8backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc531…f2e6backed Yes1c7,858$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ab…a989backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb28…1971backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…e10bbacked Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321e…7e67backed Yes1c7,858$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…0ba8backed Yes1c7,858$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d59…ac04backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b1…08f0backed Yes1c7,858$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4395…5067backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ba9…bc65backed Yes1c7,858$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b20…43f6backed Yes1c7,858$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64da…1cadbacked Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4951…7b5fbacked Yes1c6,549$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1999…81cebacked Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3630…ae9dbacked Yes1c6,549$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2631…b4aebacked Yes1c6,549$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5175…42ffbacked Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e68…2895backed Yes1c6,549$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…8952backed Yes1c6,549$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…07ebbacked Yes1c6,549$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ed…a8ecbacked Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd6…4557backed Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…ad21backed Yes1c6,549$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc6…3362backed Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…acc5backed Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd3…7616backed Yes1c6,549$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3636…ce60backed Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda6…4ee4backed Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…9750backed Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c5…6105backed Yes1c6,549$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fb…1798backed Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9036…4ce0backed Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a5…92c2backed Yes1c6,549$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x669a…cec6backed Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893b…dca3backed Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afe…f111backed Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3125…5451backed Yes1c6,549$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e69…2a2abacked Yes1c6,549$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b73…b23cbacked Yes1c6,549$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb138…3090backed Yes1c6,549$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fc…1be1backed Yes1c6,549$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3659…e252backed Yes1c6,549$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c9…b392backed Yes1c6,549$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.