TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$897,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $897,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7efa…acbebacked Yes1c50,750$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60980%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f23fbacked Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018214.8%27 W · 155 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid+218.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c34,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505132.9%15 W · 498 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+88.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c29,280$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.283614.4%16 W · 345 L-0.4wins0.00per pick5cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c25,707$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.054121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed Yes1c24,100$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick2cpaid+852.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20684.4%3 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+417.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c6,248$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.944521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20c…9518backed Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x923e…bc70backed Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a73…b447backed Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2b…b8e3backed Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…efddbacked Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c7…fc0bbacked Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2507…e5fbbacked Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…7060backed Yes1c5,067$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes3c4,606$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.8517037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa61a…ebe7backed Yes0c3,950$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf400…1a2bbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fb9…a7f3backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46a9…3533backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x816d…1f3ebacked Yes1c3,378$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd558…d126backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e73…197cbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac0…6432backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59b…81e9backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827b…78d5backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad6…ac3dbacked Yes1c3,378$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e05…0d9cbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…de56backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x857d…2e06backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8da…2b78backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d6e…de08backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcc…6633backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba99…33f3backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c6…8932backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c1e…2decbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x701e…37fbbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710e…22fcbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f7…08b3backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee3…6837backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…4e33backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabea…9c61backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedaf…07f7backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f8…684bbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2c…abb1backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3882…6b81backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d3…e9c2backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c1…45abbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf094…156cbacked Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c09…c727backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cbc…99e6backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65cf…4855backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2c…0e38backed Yes1c3,378$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1617…d884backed Yes0c3,050$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes2c2,065$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7338023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea3…e2b0backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e46…77b7backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x601f…6dbebacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c1…ff21backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2631…b4aebacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c04…b14fbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb15…65e4backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd972…60bcbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf8…3830backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d84…5a7fbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f5a…f658backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b7f…9206backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d71…7bc5backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fd…5d22backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0c…dfc2backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff2…442fbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc462…062fbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…343abacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…4a6cbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda30…f4b5backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…46b1backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd2…8affbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50b2…64ffbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3c…2d9cbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c1…36a8backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cbd…f436backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28fb…f656backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf53f…badcbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22ab…9e0bbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…ecb1backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6c…5c4cbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31af…139fbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d18…a6cfbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1d…097ebacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf273…30dbbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8684…52bdbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb256…b412backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4d…09eabacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a22…be40backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfd…614ebacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356f…6929backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e7…8312backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc839…e0bcbacked Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…6a20backed Yes1c1,689$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.