World Politics · resolved market
Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87bc8e4ff0e0f978cc75c018774b7bd943eb152147be767140e7d5e1068ac1c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,555,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $914,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,555,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfa4…a7a1backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d7…17e3backed Yes | 0c | 44,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c2…d150backed Yes | 0c | 44,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…4da6backed Yes | 0c | 44,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…f2d0backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5f…5295backed Yes | 0c | 44,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…ec5ebacked Yes | 0c | 42,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3246…5200backed Yes | 0c | 42,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…7511backed Yes | 0c | 41,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 28,446$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaf…18bebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…f88ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c35…1343backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 11,575$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…46c5backed Yes | 0c | 11,410$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 11,301$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…e1c2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…215abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…2737backed Yes | 11c | 9,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 7,563$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 5,203$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 2c | 5,101$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca8…b856backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 2c | 3,027$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8107…4f39backed Yes | 18c | 2,083$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.16 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 19c | 1,540$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0a…6fc4backed Yes | 8c | 1,383$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 20c | 1,333$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 11c | 1,076$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd2…9b1abacked Yes | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 13c | 677.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…02cfbacked Yes | 11c | 505.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 4c | 500$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf8…042fbacked Yes | 7c | 499.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 11c | 319.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…5fa4backed Yes | 16c | 303.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed Yes | 7c | 295$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 13c | 271.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 259.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268a…4517backed Yes | 16c | 256$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 10c | 254.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 7c | 208$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +168.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 12c | 184.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 10c | 150.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…d269backed Yes | 13c | 111.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…7e57backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…cea6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 12c | 81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes won
- Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Scott Stringer win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.