Olympics · resolved market
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b611865074cab0ee2991b62be17149ea4912e9cbde167639f2ee882ce28428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,527,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,579,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,527,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed No | 51c | 267,181$135,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131,881.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Yes | 46c | 200,000$92,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Yes | 52c | 197,448$101,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,848.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 54c | 175,000$94,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed No | 45c | 119,626$54,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,315.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed No | 46c | 100,926$46,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,500.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…1b66backed Yes | 55c | 97,505$53,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,562.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Yes | 51c | 95,247$48,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,196.53 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 47c | 90,000$42,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,700 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed No | 47c | 89,215$41,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,304.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Yes | 53c | 66,265$35,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,282.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Yes | 45c | 61,500$27,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,753.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 56c | 59,397$33,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,309.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…b65cbacked Yes | 54c | 55,555$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 45c | 52,500$23,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,625 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…238ebacked No | 45c | 50,888$22,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,006 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 52c | 49,999$26,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,099.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…9e70backed Yes | 53c | 49,793$26,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,147.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 45c | 45,399$20,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,287.69 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 48c | 34,379$16,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,598.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 49c | 32,580$16,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,078.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes | 53c | 30,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,999.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 44c | 29,958$13,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,261.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 58c | 29,933$17,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,702.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 48c | 27,973$13,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,404.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 33c | 25,197$8,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,191.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 45c | 22,500$10,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,092.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Yes | 47c | 21,920$10,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,365.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 54c | 21,100$11,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,394 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 11c | 20,841$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 55c | 20,000$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,899.81 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 45c | 19,653$8,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,809.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes | 54c | 19,470$10,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,513.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes | 51c | 19,328$9,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 52c | 18,306$9,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,509.31 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 54c | 18,112$9,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,331.37 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…ad27backed Yes | 39c | 17,586$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…0084backed Yes | 44c | 17,288$7,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,606.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Yes | 55c | 16,794$9,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,165.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Yes | 44c | 15,730$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 54c | 15,649$8,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,380.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d5…173dbacked Yes | 54c | 15,566$8,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,406.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 42c | 15,418$6,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,513.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b49…e4d6backed Yes | 56c | 15,097$8,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,404.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 14,207$6,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,331.4 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 47c | 13,732$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Yes | 47c | 13,622$6,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,393.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…8bedbacked Yes | 55c | 13,273$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 37c | 13,165$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed No | 51c | 13,001$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,330.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Yes | 44c | 12,642$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Yes | 46c | 12,443$5,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 49c | 12,294$6,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,015.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 53c | 11,826$6,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Yes | 46c | 11,658$5,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa382…ed19backed Yes | 50c | 11,599$5,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…eb6cbacked Yes | 52c | 11,458$5,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,973.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 45c | 11,277$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.43 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac9…200bbacked Yes | 56c | 10,869$6,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,076.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…a9f2backed Yes | 52c | 10,868$5,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,683.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed No | 54c | 10,731$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,983.4 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Yes | 46c | 10,580$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 46c | 10,356$4,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.46 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 51c | 10,248$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes | 45c | 10,000$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 53c | 9,614$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,105.68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcae0…9f81backed Yes | 53c | 9,198$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…b835backed Yes | 54c | 8,889$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 51c | 8,820$4,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.37 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 46c | 8,812$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed No | 53c | 8,802$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 46c | 8,697$4,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,653.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked No | 51c | 8,633$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee1…fc10backed Yes | 50c | 8,410$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,187.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…8c89backed Yes | 50c | 7,424$3,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,711.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 51c | 7,000$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 37c | 6,500$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcddd…5ce0backed Yes | 53c | 6,466$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 26c | 6,388$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x176f…cd75backed Yes | 56c | 6,213$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,471.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…181cbacked Yes | 46c | 6,207$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,239.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc87…e026backed Yes | 38c | 5,904$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…3badbacked Yes | 52c | 5,858$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 52c | 5,772$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…302dbacked Yes | 50c | 5,766$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 46c | 5,750$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,105 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Yes | 54c | 5,687$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Yes | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 47c | 5,515$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 55c | 5,515$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Yes | 55c | 5,472$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes | 45c | 5,300$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Yes | 49c | 5,260$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes | 50c | 5,237$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Denmark win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will France win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Germany win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Latvia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No won
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.