TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,931,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$992,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,931,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2936…7be9backed Yes0c129,927$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.051618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick16cpaid-47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c129,746$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.211464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.24per pick41cpaid+15.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b0c…7992backed Yes1c80,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aea…10c9backed Yes2c58,999$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes1c53,221$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes2c41,469$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.821526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick18cpaid-19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a3…cc69backed Yes2c34,780$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x193c…642cbacked Yes3c34,722$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Yes2c33,955$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…1711backed Yes2c25,602$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c25,250$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.81220%0 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb78…5206backed Yes2c25,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Yes2c22,729$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8590…f9c6backed Yes2c21,533$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.6390%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes0c21,500$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…1732backed Yes2c20,833$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes0c20,155$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x075a…fb98backed Yes2c20,021$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fb7…3297backed Yes1c19,116$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.06837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick24cpaid-27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes1c18,520$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.32120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes0c18,137$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.272536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes2c17,989$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.5280%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e06…99b7backed Yes1c17,203$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c16,815$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.05630%0 W · 63 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…fa57backed Yes0c16,781$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8840%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc85…b4f4backed Yes1c16,517$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.69425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234e…240bbacked Yes1c15,701$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes2c15,456$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.143625%9 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes3c15,389$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400293.4%1 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-92.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c7…3e93backed Yes1c15,239$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4670%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes1c15,000$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.86333%1 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-89.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368b…2458backed Yes1c13,361$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec50…45ffbacked Yes2c13,209$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes1c12,461$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.561323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c12,358$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9760%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a56…4e46backed Yes1c12,029$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Yes3c12,022$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes0c10,352$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.24420%0 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54df…cce4backed Yes2c10,149$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Yes2c10,089$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Yes1c10,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-63%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c1f…0a20backed Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb646…9e14backed Yes1c9,730$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-64.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c9,577$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.994235.7%15 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes0c9,321$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.962825%7 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-33.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes2c8,850$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb654…602bbacked Yes0c8,798$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8102…7081backed Yes2c8,316$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x281f…1917backed Yes1c8,195$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4364…d6a7backed Yes1c7,855$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.89540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+116.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes1c7,832$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.651020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e5…d72dbacked Yes1c7,724$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8990%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39ca…bd7dbacked Yes0c7,707$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes1c7,640$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.791136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick28cpaid-23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…a4a0backed Yes3c7,637$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c7,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294a…bbbabacked Yes1c7,446$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-63.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…7ee3backed Yes1c7,432$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcf…c52fbacked Yes1c7,322$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b9…f403backed Yes1c7,193$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea7…5fe6backed Yes1c7,094$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f6b…7f83backed Yes3c7,071$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc015…8ccebacked Yes0c7,064$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Yes3c7,000$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1891145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cea…fccbbacked Yes1c6,982$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2388…24fdbacked Yes0c6,878$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873e…4ef4backed Yes0c6,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d9…5541backed Yes2c6,337$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1837…8340backed Yes2c6,266$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d47…f101backed Yes1c5,982$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa172…e6d8backed Yes0c5,955$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c5…511dbacked Yes1c5,516$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60110%0 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8175…b96cbacked Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd50…b81dbacked Yes1c5,139$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdeb…a9bbbacked Yes2c5,040$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes2c5,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-76.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa311…a4ebbacked Yes3c4,762$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf35…8033backed Yes3c4,756$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc457…1f30backed Yes3c4,700$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f03…a33ebacked Yes1c4,666$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed Yes1c4,637$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1860%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78f…2a57backed Yes3c4,446$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9efe…b0ccbacked Yes2c4,033$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaad9…2dfebacked Yes3c4,000$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Yes1c4,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d87…507abacked Yes2c3,997$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes1c3,962$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.25559.1%5 W · 50 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-60.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Yes1c3,846$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7cc…1733backed Yes2c3,829$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e40…5b6abacked Yes3c3,764$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10350%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0e…25afbacked Yes0c3,737$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…16a4backed Yes3c3,719$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf7…acc2backed Yes1c3,707$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec2…4035backed Yes3c3,658$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Yes1c3,593$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes1c3,571$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2252…4a8ebacked Yes3c3,434$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…8b90backed Yes2c3,418$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd78…837bbacked Yes1c3,410$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.