NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0d07ddff4ab18a353fbb802cc6da87be9819b23cce70dfc0048aa2e3068e465
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Maple Leafs, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $391,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x87d3…7170backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 37,309$17,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,914.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Panthers | 66c | 28,913$18,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,941.51 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 23,177$8,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,944.46 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Panthers | 68c | 17,832$12,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,706.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 16,699$5,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,765.14 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 60c | 16,696$9,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,758.37 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 16,199$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.61 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Panthers | 67c | 14,271$9,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.28 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 68c | 14,166$9,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.62 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Panthers | 67c | 12,500$8,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.86 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 11,942$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.53 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 69c | 9,807$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.03 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Panthers | 46c | 9,385$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,064.37 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 9,089$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.21 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…dbf5backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 8,465$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Panthers | 67c | 8,453$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.96 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 5,750$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.36per pick | 48cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 61c | 4,592$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 4,583$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.07 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers | 59c | 4,519$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.79 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…ac91backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,516$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 4,401$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.16 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 3,933$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.28 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Panthers | 67c | 3,842$2,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…3b96backed Panthers | 62c | 3,646$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Maple Leafs | 22c | 3,297$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 3,286$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.95 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,238$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.33 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Panthers | 55c | 3,218$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.34 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 3,168$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…b8cbbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 3,061$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Maple Leafs | 25c | 2,534$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.5 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 2,489$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Panthers | 68c | 2,478$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.44 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 2,406$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.03 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Maple Leafs | 24c | 2,359$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 66c | 2,337$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.61 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 2,261$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.26 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Panthers | 68c | 2,200$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 67c | 2,139$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.89 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…ae66backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,129$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fc…c1e8backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,116$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 54c | 2,030$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Panthers | 68c | 2,016$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.79 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.96 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,946$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.74 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Panthers | 71c | 1,695$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.55 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,590$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.88 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,560$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.48 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,548$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.56 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,527$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.7 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,500$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.97 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Panthers | 50c | 1,378$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Panthers | 68c | 1,330$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.6 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…03acbacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,325$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,322$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.82 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1358…1af4backed Panthers | 68c | 1,300$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 67c | 1,280$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.4 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Panthers | 68c | 1,235$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.29 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Panthers | 35c | 1,193$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.21 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,151$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers | 67c | 1,118$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Panthers | 68c | 1,107$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.28 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…fed3backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,066$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Panthers | 60c | 1,064$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.33 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 19c | 1,055$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,050$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,000$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,000$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 28c | 999.98$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Panthers | 57c | 960.33$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Panthers | 67c | 888$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.04 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Panthers | 72c | 879.36$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.48 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…5efebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 843.49$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Panthers | 59c | 823.47$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.47 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Panthers | 53c | 773.82$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…acd4backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 756.23$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Panthers | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 719.7$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d7…068bbacked Panthers | 68c | 719.41$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 705.21$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Maple Leafs | 47c | 701.52$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e498backed Maple Leafs | 17c | 699.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 680.09$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.06 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.