TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$547,839
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$551,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,839 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed Jets50c51,625$25,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,753.9110745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Stars50c47,074$23,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,537.1636242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Jets48c34,436$16,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,529.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Stars51c25,112$12,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,407.041,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Stars52c20,488$10,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,834.241957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Jets48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6001450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Stars56c18,326$10,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,063.4410343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets51c17,736$9,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,038.3231546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Stars53c17,545$9,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,253.2114057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Jets51c16,617$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,5004151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Jets46c16,068$7,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,385.7517448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars53c15,999$8,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,539.5692848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b52…e5f2backed Stars51c14,979$7,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,339.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Stars52c13,980$7,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,756.211,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf980…6528backed Jets48c13,828$6,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,637.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Stars49c13,355$6,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,794.321652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars50c12,407$6,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,242.391,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ba…d879backed Stars50c10,510$5,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,255.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b80…ad84backed Jets47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c32…99c0backed Stars53c9,995$5,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,697.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Stars52c9,462$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,541.562646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jets51c6,685$3,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,393.11,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Stars50c6,132$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,065.8311145.9%51 W · 60 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd7…cd86backed Jets47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.931747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99c…3070backed Jets18c5,939$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05529319.8%58 W · 235 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets47c5,252$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46666951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Stars52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40019555.4%108 W · 87 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9923642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jets49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Jets50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00083652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Jets50c3,915$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.441,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Stars52c3,908$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.8311441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Jets38c3,874$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.834852.1%25 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa530…4280backed Jets32c3,756$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Stars75c3,747$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.613348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Stars50c3,480$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.394856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Stars51c3,072$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.622339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Stars53c2,854$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.282360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked Jets47c2,740$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.81560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Jets28c2,403$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.844143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars52c2,400$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.61,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jets30c2,367$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6f…a572backed Jets47c2,300$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Jets51c2,158$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.597361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jets29c2,011$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59214542.8%62 W · 83 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jets50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Stars50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2192…b0cabacked Jets48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jets56c2,000$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.9910739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Jets49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.969942.4%42 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd10e…8404backed Jets50c1,978$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Stars50c1,978$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9891450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Jets51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe923…e0fabacked Jets47c1,950$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Stars51c1,950$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stars63c1,819$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.932,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Stars50c1,754$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.0321750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Jets26c1,742$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.5318237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Jets22c1,667$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.944050%20 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+29.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Jets25c1,667$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.18350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Stars54c1,640$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.7758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Jets40c1,619$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.7537738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Jets50c1,601$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79515431.8%49 W · 105 L-12.4wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Jets47c1,597$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.774339.5%17 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbbbf…dbf5backed Jets51c1,592$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.671136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Stars52c1,538$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.2472847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Stars61c1,531$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.9285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Jets40c1,502$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Jets54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8103243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Stars55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.991952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Stars57c1,500$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.9933837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Jets54c1,399$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+55.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Stars53c1,371$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stars50c1,332$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66623761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2227…b572backed Jets47c1,311$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.173743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x823f…eb54backed Jets48c1,290$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59a0…deeabacked Stars54c1,263$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…0ee8backed Stars54c1,237$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ad…9096backed Jets48c1,210$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Stars51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.478644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Stars52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.856848.5%33 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5700…c525backed Stars53c1,151$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4976…bea2backed Stars53c1,149$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.032100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a1c…02edbacked Stars53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa47b…bae9backed Jets31c1,098$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.311127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3797…8150backed Jets48c1,056$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee73…18e6backed Jets48c1,044$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c24…a8cbbacked Stars53c1,038$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jets50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Jets51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51013655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jets49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9935349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Jets46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9948050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Stars51c996.74$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.419836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbda…bc5dbacked Stars53c989$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b07…8e5ebacked Stars53c967.92$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa920…c0fdbacked Stars53c962.26$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.