TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,442,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,287,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,442,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes2c87,822$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,817.7226136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes2c56,763$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.64240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c7…aadebacked Yes3c50,000$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.983847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes2c49,796$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.51254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes2c38,795$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.951910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c34,578$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.294027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes3c32,681$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.91,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes2c31,220$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.6247845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6c…0b46backed Yes2c27,964$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Yes4c27,870$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011151.4%57 W · 54 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes2c24,735$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.555137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes1c23,888$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.28128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes3c21,000$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.4127445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes3c19,222$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.259431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c19,135$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.1343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes2c16,506$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.254540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Yes1c13,697$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.081040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes4c13,286$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.8912950.4%65 W · 64 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes2c12,495$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.19270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c9,790$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.153228.1%9 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes2c9,157$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7518931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes3c8,562$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.341315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick13cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c8,557$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.0122516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes2c7,273$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.126414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1137…74e9backed Yes2c7,199$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes2c6,974$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05bb…8ef9backed Yes1c6,873$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes2c6,720$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.42150%0 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes2c4,681$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.51,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes2c4,591$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0970249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c4,168$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8710336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe7c9…d022backed Yes3c3,697$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes3c3,521$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.75210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked Yes2c3,403$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1411638.8%45 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes2c3,364$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.573735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Yes3c3,158$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed6f…2668backed Yes1c3,127$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae2…c12fbacked Yes2c3,039$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c3,032$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.48310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes3c2,834$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes2c2,810$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.82140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c2,659$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9765345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11bf…770dbacked Yes2c2,600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes2c2,460$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1521534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc29…f1bbbacked Yes3c2,393$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8090%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes3c2,132$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.75128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-49.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes2c2,102$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4780%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc2…f0f4backed Yes2c2,089$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1746…c8c5backed Yes3c2,083$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81120%0 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed Yes1c2,001$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa2…d72fbacked Yes3c1,970$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes2c1,849$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3180%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes1c1,800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.960042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes2c1,595$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes2c1,521$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes1c1,508$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.443520%7 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes2c1,441$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72180%0 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes2c1,424$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234337.2%16 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes2c1,400$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc908…f949backed Yes1c1,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5554…b12dbacked Yes2c1,330$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.26100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes2c1,321$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8842…834ebacked Yes2c1,295$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes2c1,270$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.77185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed Yes3c1,249$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.49160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes3c1,242$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5434032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes3c1,234$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes2c1,218$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.245141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes2c1,142$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.42110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb9…ca1bbacked Yes3c1,061$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…5d33backed Yes2c1,059$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.23140%0 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fc…74a4backed Yes5c1,029$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013442.5%57 W · 77 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36e7…a557backed Yes3c1,018$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0e9…b806backed Yes2c1,015$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd289…caf1backed Yes2c1,010$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0522…0392backed Yes3c1,010$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Yes3c999.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.259744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29a…09c7backed Yes2c964.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.86156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-51.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes2c960$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb01e…100abacked Yes3c950$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1870…5012backed Yes2c950$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1689…8656backed Yes3c950$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd392…e400backed Yes2c932.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…304fbacked Yes3c920$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe956…d7b4backed Yes5c903.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb99d…06a9backed Yes3c900$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660f…bb90backed Yes3c900$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e89…7c23backed Yes1c867.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-56.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes2c852.62$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7960%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2b…69a4backed Yes3c829.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+108.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes2c814.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.246811.8%8 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a5…4531backed Yes2c802$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.93520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e05…b049backed Yes3c800$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9410…9160backed Yes2c768.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.38128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes2c750$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.752646.2%12 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+32.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf191…06e5backed Yes2c720$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2360%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…91dabacked Yes1c705.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes2c700$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.876450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.