TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,533,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,275,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,533,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c123,641$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.0626136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes1c49,717$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.78240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes1c45,659$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.032711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Yes1c38,775$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0147845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes1c33,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes1c29,960$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.084540%18 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f7…4ef7backed Yes1c28,277$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.29270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Yes2c28,223$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5725258.3%147 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes2c21,000$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.5327445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf10…d318backed Yes1c20,784$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.3418931.2%59 W · 130 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes1c16,780$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.23119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-88%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Yes1c14,767$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.972119%4 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c14,286$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2343944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes1c14,187$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Yes2c13,139$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3761748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes2c10,701$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8835349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes2c10,355$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.61150%0 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…e163backed Yes1c10,196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d9…ec6bbacked Yes1c10,177$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b74…fbf9backed Yes1c10,157$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34de…bd88backed Yes2c10,146$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.77850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes1c9,991$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.39128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-84.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes1c9,452$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8165345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4178…2adebacked Yes2c9,300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64f…0173backed Yes2c9,300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc908…f949backed Yes1c8,501$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.753318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c8,446$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1510336.9%38 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+2.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes1c8,093$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5611141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes1c7,840$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.356414.1%9 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-71.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c7,713$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.142814.3%4 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+129.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x47b9…55febacked Yes1c7,650$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51dd…4bbdbacked Yes1c7,650$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8672…c3e1backed Yes1c7,386$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.43210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…109fbacked Yes1c7,110$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b1…3b8fbacked Yes1c6,800$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651e…6ab7backed Yes1c6,397$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.531910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-72.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Yes2c6,094$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b5…fa78backed Yes2c6,000$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.85911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes2c5,881$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6834032.4%110 W · 230 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes1c5,471$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.053735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick23cpaid-13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e80…245dbacked Yes2c5,154$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0970%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9079…7367backed Yes2c5,128$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf37a…9d97backed Yes2c5,128$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes1c5,100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.74438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4204…83fcbacked Yes1c5,000$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-72.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,827$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3922516.4%37 W · 188 L-1.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…05e9backed Yes1c4,359$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.932147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Yes2c4,200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.648654.1%263 W · 223 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes2c3,963$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.661,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes2c3,758$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.15128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes1c3,630$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0712438.7%48 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c3,526$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.37310%0 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Yes2c3,327$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-56.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes2c3,223$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Yes1c3,119$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1321534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c9…d022backed Yes2c3,060$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes1c3,036$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.06140%0 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a12…ba9cbacked Yes1c3,016$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8111638.8%45 W · 71 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63dc…9644backed Yes1c3,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…21babacked Yes1c2,881$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-78.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Yes1c2,823$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1438040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe509…7387backed Yes1c2,720$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe9…7af9backed Yes2c2,609$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c2,578$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.945141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c2,525$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes1c2,468$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.125137.3%19 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81fc…fd8bbacked Yes1c2,455$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c78…b145backed Yes2c2,452$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-43.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa909…6badbacked Yes1c2,341$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6890%0 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83fe…6b61backed Yes1c2,136$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.33100%0 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef7…fba9backed Yes1c2,056$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.433520%7 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e9…245dbacked Yes1c2,026$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0970%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75cf…a0b7backed Yes1c2,026$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1390%0 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x886a…0944backed Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-76.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda34…91dabacked Yes1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36e7…a557backed Yes1c1,994$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.950%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes2c1,962$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cc…5987backed Yes2c1,933$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30200%0 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7e…71b7backed Yes1c1,917$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7180%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b0…fb66backed Yes2c1,911$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.76425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85aa…4872backed Yes1c1,850$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes1c1,800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes2c1,672$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6225…5eb6backed Yes1c1,647$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1280%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes1c1,647$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1376450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes1c1,635$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.72175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-82.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ed…8eacbacked Yes2c1,627$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b01…95a9backed Yes1c1,612$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes1c1,513$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.99200%0 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce71…54c9backed Yes1c1,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57842.3%33 W · 45 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1b…9e26backed Yes1c1,415$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6980%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed Yes2c1,400$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.230%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Yes1c1,400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.160042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94a…2728backed Yes2c1,343$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.751136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Yes1c1,335$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes2c1,285$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.24147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b4…229ebacked Yes2c1,234$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a7…320cbacked Yes1c1,209$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9190…294dbacked Yes1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.990%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.