Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c5e5e7fb2afce5f9fb3239bbd002542ab7ff567ec7656b052173bdffb3051a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,218,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,404,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,218,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,767 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 74c | 161,661$119,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,124.02 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 26c | 152,151$39,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,869.65 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 3c | 115,010$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.93 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes | 14c | 109,831$15,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,527.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 18c | 108,658$19,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,462.97 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 26c | 100,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Yes | 4c | 87,853$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 3c | 66,403$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.5 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Yes | 4c | 61,577$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 5c | 51,074$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.71 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 17c | 41,723$7,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,159.32 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Yes | 3c | 41,684$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.03 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 19c | 39,106$7,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,411.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 17c | 32,678$5,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 3c | 31,343$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed Yes | 14c | 29,796$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…e463backed No | 73c | 27,478$20,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 16c | 27,306$4,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.91 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 25c | 24,231$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,164.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…85b9backed Yes | 13c | 23,657$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes | 3c | 21,564$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.32 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 20,435$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.25 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 3c | 18,485$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.08 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 26c | 17,048$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,430.34 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 77c | 14,582$11,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.18 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac2…727bbacked Yes | 4c | 13,946$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 3c | 13,866$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.87 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 13,791$10,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 12c | 13,430$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.91 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked No | 73c | 13,330$9,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.9 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Yes | 27c | 13,175$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…3e96backed Yes | 3c | 13,011$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 76c | 12,704$9,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 3c | 12,496$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.09 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 11,534$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.41 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Yes | 27c | 11,144$2,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked No | 73c | 10,000$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…991dbacked Yes | 3c | 9,025$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…a690backed Yes | 23c | 8,950$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 5c | 8,262$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Yes | 3c | 8,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 78c | 7,957$6,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.37 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 4c | 7,895$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…76b7backed Yes | 6c | 7,765$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…6ddfbacked Yes | 5c | 7,623$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…00f5backed Yes | 3c | 7,599$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 14c | 7,400$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6497…e225backed Yes | 0c | 7,370$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes | 3c | 7,310$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…813ebacked Yes | 27c | 7,295$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Yes | 4c | 7,200$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb9…e983backed Yes | 3c | 6,907$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 27c | 6,725$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ca…eaa2backed Yes | 3c | 6,273$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,185$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.78 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 21c | 6,027$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.06 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…109dbacked No | 73c | 6,000$4,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cc…447cbacked Yes | 20c | 5,893$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 26c | 5,834$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 3c | 5,752$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.05 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Yes | 6c | 5,594$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed No | 73c | 5,571$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +53%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…9c05backed Yes | 12c | 5,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 14c | 5,362$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.77 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…379dbacked Yes | 14c | 5,347$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 5,211$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a8…16dabacked Yes | 7c | 5,018$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,858$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…56efbacked Yes | 12c | 4,583$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…c5a4backed Yes | 27c | 4,350$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.2 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…90b8backed Yes | 4c | 4,284$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…814dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,254$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 4c | 4,248$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.69 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…8c50backed Yes | 3c | 4,190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…68cfbacked Yes | 6c | 4,117$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…f9d1backed Yes | 6c | 4,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…50cfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,924$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…583ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,914$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d92…7facbacked Yes | 3c | 3,900$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…9f7cbacked Yes | 4c | 3,886$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…e31cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,827$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594a…480dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,812$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d2…7ddfbacked Yes | 3c | 3,752$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes | 27c | 3,750$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 13c | 3,739$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…125bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,705$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 80c | 3,560$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.04 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3582…8fc6backed Yes | 3c | 3,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes | 4c | 3,492$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 14c | 3,460$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0d…ea2cbacked Yes | 10c | 3,455$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Yes | 3c | 3,359$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4f…73e1backed Yes | 3c | 3,320$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…35bbbacked Yes | 4c | 3,304$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6159…cf6ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,290$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fa…b3cebacked Yes | 4c | 3,232$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Yes | 3c | 3,223$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Akron win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Cal Baptist win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Creighton win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Furman win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hawaii win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will High Point win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Howard win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Idaho win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kennesaw State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Kentucky win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will LIU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Lehigh win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will McNeese win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will NC State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will North Dakota State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Northern Iowa win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Penn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Prairie View A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Queens win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will SMU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Louis win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Santa Clara win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Siena win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will St. Mary's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Troy win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.