TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,218,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,404,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,218,808 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,767 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed No74c161,661$119,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,124.025541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes26c152,151$39,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,869.658232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes3c115,010$3,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.936127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Yes14c109,831$15,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,527.682227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes18c108,658$19,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,462.9733438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes26c100,000$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,000540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Yes4c87,853$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.351747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes3c66,403$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.590645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes4c61,577$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7002917.2%5 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-67.9%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes5c51,074$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,465.7117742.9%76 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes17c41,723$7,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,159.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes3c41,684$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.03137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed Yes19c39,106$7,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,411.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Yes17c32,678$5,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,569.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a3…ee24backed Yes3c31,343$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.13825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0140…9510backed Yes14c29,796$4,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,15710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed No73c27,478$20,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,346.8666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes16c27,306$4,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,357.918230.5%25 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-30.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes25c24,231$6,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,164.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba7…85b9backed Yes13c23,657$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…c54cbacked Yes3c21,564$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.323420.6%7 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes3c20,435$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.2516721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c18,485$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.08147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes26c17,048$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,430.341,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No77c14,582$11,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.1831646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac2…727bbacked Yes4c13,946$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.0wins-0.29per pick36cpaid-66.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes3c13,866$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.8713342.1%56 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c13,791$10,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,660.475,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0706…6ffebacked Yes12c13,430$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.914015%6 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-59.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked No73c13,330$9,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.91978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick69cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Yes27c13,175$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe225…3e96backed Yes3c13,011$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No76c12,704$9,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.811250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes3c12,496$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.09170%0 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c11,534$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.417626.3%20 W · 56 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Yes27c11,144$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Yes26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No73c10,000$7,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,659.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3697…991dbacked Yes3c9,025$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9437…a690backed Yes23c8,950$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes5c8,262$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.489833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Yes3c8,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No78c7,957$6,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.3710429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes4c7,895$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.8128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-55.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…76b7backed Yes6c7,765$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab0d…6ddfbacked Yes5c7,623$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.072548%12 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64f…00f5backed Yes3c7,599$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes14c7,400$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9992733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6497…e225backed Yes0c7,370$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Yes3c7,310$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2428817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea7…813ebacked Yes27c7,295$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Yes4c7,200$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.82832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb9…e983backed Yes3c6,907$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes27c6,725$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,795.831735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ca…eaa2backed Yes3c6,273$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes3c6,185$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.78190%0 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes21c6,027$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.063441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd39…109dbacked No73c6,000$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.042268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3cc…447cbacked Yes20c5,893$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Yes26c5,834$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.665556.4%31 W · 24 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Yes3c5,752$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.057337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Yes6c5,594$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3840%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No73c5,571$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff76…9c05backed Yes12c5,500$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes14c5,362$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.7749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50b0…379dbacked Yes14c5,347$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes6c5,211$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.91625%4 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-40.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a8…16dabacked Yes7c5,018$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,858$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4229012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8280…56efbacked Yes12c4,583$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5632356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x694d…c5a4backed Yes27c4,350$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.25352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba6…90b8backed Yes4c4,284$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec6…814dbacked Yes3c4,254$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c4,248$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.69120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971b…8c50backed Yes3c4,190$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfade…68cfbacked Yes6c4,117$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.92616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf12…f9d1backed Yes6c4,041$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x393f…50cfbacked Yes3c3,924$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda54…583ebacked Yes7c3,914$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d92…7facbacked Yes3c3,900$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc043…9f7cbacked Yes4c3,886$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cf2…e31cbacked Yes3c3,827$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x594a…480dbacked Yes3c3,812$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d2…7ddfbacked Yes3c3,752$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes27c3,750$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…b881backed Yes13c3,739$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b28…125bbacked Yes27c3,735$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c3,705$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81230%0 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked Yes3c3,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No80c3,560$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.041,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3582…8fc6backed Yes3c3,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-67.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Yes4c3,492$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2460%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes14c3,460$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0d…ea2cbacked Yes10c3,455$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Yes3c3,359$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4f…73e1backed Yes3c3,320$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2f…35bbbacked Yes4c3,304$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6159…cf6ebacked Yes7c3,290$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fa…b3cebacked Yes4c3,232$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Yes3c3,223$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 70. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.