TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd2e5…1dc9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Copa Colsanitas: Varvara Lepchenko vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+393.5%+$60.29
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Jazmin Ortenzibacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138%+$52.01
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$9.57
Miyazaki: Omar Jasika vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Miyazaki: Hiroki Moriya vs James Kent Trotterbacked Hiroki Moriya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.5%+$25.67
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Credit One Charleston Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Renata Zarazuabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Copa Colsanitas: Camila Osorio vs Caroline Dolehidebacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$11.51
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.01
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+87%+$17.52
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.57
Copa Colsanitas: Lia Karatancheva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Lia Karatancheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$21.33
Copa Colsanitas: Robin Montgomery vs Anna Blinkovabacked Robin Montgomery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Credit One Charleston Open: Kayla Day vs Paula Badosabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
Miyazaki: Carl Overbeck vs Ognjen Milicbacked Carl Overbeck · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Rei Sakamotobacked Rei Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.95
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.34
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.51
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Seattle Kraken win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$21.8
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Canucks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$3.22
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.16
Penguins vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.32
Canadiens vs. Rangersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$11.38
Jets vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Stars vs. Bruinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.66
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+152%+$18.53
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$83.59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+374.8%+$41.69
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$351.35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-78.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.14
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.56
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.97
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$4.96
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Timberwolves vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+59%+$14.95
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.13
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+65.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+43%+$6.82
Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.58
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$19.74
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+225.1%+$39.82
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$12.01
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$11.49
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.19
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+159.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Qingdao Eagles vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.51
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$86.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wales win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.