Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb915f3ba6797b3d18296078d128dd7abb118813d61929fda2b2adc84e8eb17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 12,003$8,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.53 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked No | 7c | 10,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 5,026$3,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.7 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…2723backed Yes | 39c | 2,055$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 37c | 1,386$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 17c | 1,282$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 1,088$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 21c | 1,073$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 22c | 1,058$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.13 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 20c | 861.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.06 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 850.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.88 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 64c | 703.13$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 15c | 628.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 66c | 605.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 563.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 51c | 549.11$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 505.2$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.81 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 19c | 496.1$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.48 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 19c | 472.61$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.82 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 20c | 456.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.13 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 80c | 404.78$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.82 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 80c | 392.54$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 365.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.42 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 364.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…8913backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked No | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 296.83$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 38c | 284.27$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 273.14$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.62 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 22c | 268.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 51c | 237.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.15 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 28c | 236$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Yes | 23c | 224.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +185.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 217.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 50c | 214.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 206.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6070…88a8backed No | 40c | 202.82$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 20c | 200.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed No | 80c | 190.24$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 20c | 186.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 161.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…4dbfbacked Yes | 22c | 157.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 78c | 153.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 151.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 143.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.45 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 38c | 135.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 78c | 130$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 79c | 128.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 21c | 111.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed No | 30c | 109.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 101.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 37c | 100.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 22c | 99.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5706…514fbacked Yes | 37c | 91.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…48c7backed Yes | 23c | 88.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +613.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 37c | 88.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 37c | 80.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed No | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…fa79backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes | 61c | 66.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…1dc9backed Yes | 23c | 66.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Yes | 20c | 65.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fca…819abacked Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe644…76b6backed No | 78c | 62.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 63c | 62.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 39c | 57.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 20c | 56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 55.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 80c | 54.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…8531backed No | 38c | 52.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c7…3e1dbacked Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Yes | 25c | 51.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf004…adafbacked Yes | 20c | 51.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…52dbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…73d2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 67c | 41.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 80c | 40.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked No | 79c | 38.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 71c | 38.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?No won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.