TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08c6…fa79

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$15.7
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$111.86
Raptors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Hawks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.43
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$54.05
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.01
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jaqueline Cristian vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+213.9%+$30.78
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.32
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Tommy Paulbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$91.39
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.51
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Credit One Charleston Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNallybacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+137.5%+$23.31
Copa Colsanitas: Darja Semenistaja vs Ella Seidelbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Bruins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+93.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+286.2%+$143.08
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+244.5%+$154.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.