Premier League · resolved market
Will Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb9810246673d32710b5c22fbceeed970975dd6bef2640f72110724565ee7f61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 65c | 3,346$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Yes | 24c | 2,229$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 10c | 1,482$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 1,381$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 1,355$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,250$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 951.34$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.73 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 36c | 830.56$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 77c | 814.78$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 14c | 775$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 724.12$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.45 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 656.35$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 597.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 17c | 580.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Yes | 23c | 485.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 254$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 70c | 225.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 217$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 70c | 208.34$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 70c | 207.2$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 75c | 201.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 18c | 180.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed No | 75c | 175.88$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 25c | 174.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b53abacked Yes | 19c | 157.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 35c | 130.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 35c | 130.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 18c | 106.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 106.12$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 78c | 100.19$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…1caabacked Yes | 14c | 97.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…fa79backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed No | 76c | 83.17$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 14c | 78.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 77c | 77.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…d2d0backed Yes | 16c | 70.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Yes | 18c | 69.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 40c | 66.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 22c | 65.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 63c | 54.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcba…f255backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 49.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 23c | 47.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad24…cbbebacked Yes | 67c | 45.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 35c | 44.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 54c | 44.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 43.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 35c | 43.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…1924backed No | 77c | 40.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 37.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 54c | 37.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 36c | 37.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 79c | 36.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 77c | 33.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 35c | 30.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 35c | 30.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked No | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 26.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 76c | 25.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 77c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 77c | 16.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coventry City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-03?Yes won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.