TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd69f…1cac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.42
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$8.27
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$17.2
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$11.88
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$32.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$24.81
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$11.03
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.08
Real Valladolid CF vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$23.3
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$8.22
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$15.03
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.62
All 21 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Göztepe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$10.45
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$8.29
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.58
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$7.87
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.16
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$13.46
Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-04-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$7.06
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$15.56
Sporting CP vs. CD Santa Clara: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$13
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.4
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$5.22
Colombia vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+29%+$4.33
Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$8.24
Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Burkina Faso vs. Guinea-Bissau: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$10.98
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$7.71
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$6.73
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$4.74
Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$8.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$7.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+55%+$5.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.