Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9d93e9ba7924bd4cfbb27a7ba3ba0856be11f982211e3d2690154f5d58b386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 1,560$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.26 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 64c | 928.87$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.47 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 635.91$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 75c | 560.72$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 429.57$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 61c | 356.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 34c | 301$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 64c | 300$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 40c | 202.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.06 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 111.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 109.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 30c | 90$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 70c | 90$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 89.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 20c | 67.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 24c | 42.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Over | 66c | 39.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 72c | 34.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 73c | 32.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 34c | 32.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 52c | 31.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 64c | 19.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.