Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1712ca066be8b3f9db131c9343dd907e333458ad3eb7c2bb23c803e74ef993f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 66c | 1,970$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.45 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 18c | 1,043$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…7ae6backed Over | 24c | 712.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb683…b8f7backed Under | 76c | 712.58$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…c02abacked Over | 17c | 526$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 21c | 413$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 17c | 348.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 16c | 305$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 346 | 59.8%207 W · 139 L | +49.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 11c | 275.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 9c | 270.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 25c | 252.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 46c | 249.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 18c | 205.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…aaf4backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 176.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 18c | 99.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 376 | 62.5%235 W · 141 L | +61.2wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 97.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed Under | 72c | 69.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 24c | 66.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 375 | 52%195 W · 180 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 19c | 54.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +56.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 41c | 48.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d53…2735backed Under | 73c | 41.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 61c | 41.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0d…bea7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 60c | 25.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 50c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.