La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4543555c2df713af29171bde9c54baa8396b21f9c7f03f5554d38e547ff90ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 2,352$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.43 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 1,845$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 51c | 1,245$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.21 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 44c | 1,061$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.43 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 774.98$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.1 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 773.4$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 15c | 465.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 56c | 452.33$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 72c | 417.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.79 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 63c | 409.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…64f5backed Over | 44c | 371.3$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under | 17c | 359$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 44c | 358.2$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…445ebacked Under | 5c | 337.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 43c | 331.59$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over | 46c | 318.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 208.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 69c | 208.25$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 195.27$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…4806backed Over | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…e39ebacked Over | 57c | 190$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9528…8c40backed Under | 56c | 186.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1c5bbacked Under | 56c | 184.53$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 170$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Under | 37c | 161.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 12c | 159.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 66c | 91.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 15c | 91.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 91.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Under | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over | 46c | 55.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 48c | 48.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 46.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 79c | 40.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 62c | 40.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 48c | 39.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 79c | 38.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked Over | 59c | 36.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 48c | 36.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 76c | 32.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 76c | 32.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 52c | 30.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 29.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ef9bbacked Under | 56c | 26.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 53c | 22.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 48c | 22.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Under | 55c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…9afbbacked Under | 58c | 17.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 68c | 15.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.