La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x804d9d7069472f259901e8a4d1f58caafbec0694ca40447f513853f829d581ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 1,713$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 16c | 1,248$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 947.12$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 501.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…bd13backed Over | 17c | 493.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 36c | 363.08$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…7adabacked Over | 17c | 356.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 8c | 337.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Over | 27c | 289.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 256.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…ba17backed Over | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 12c | 196$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 75c | 194.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723e…6669backed Over | 16c | 169.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Over | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 19c | 145.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 10c | 145.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Over | 16c | 122.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Under | 75c | 94.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Over | 23c | 76.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Over | 25c | 41.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Under | 78c | 25.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.