La Liga · resolved market
Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8c2ea2cfe4669d2b3567c5742c7b4a48805a16dfe0862b446adce98886e2c31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 30c | 860.98$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.81 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 851.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.98 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 448.78$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 71c | 424.06$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 77c | 391.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 262.49$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Under | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 71c | 225.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 190$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 71c | 177.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 71c | 177.9$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 71c | 175.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 71c | 175.93$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 71c | 173.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 71c | 172.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 71c | 172.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 71c | 172.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 71c | 172.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 124.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 28c | 108.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 29c | 102.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 75.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 71c | 68.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 71c | 63.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 71c | 56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Under | 29c | 36.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 71c | 31.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 1.5this page
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-2.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5)FC Andorra won
- Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)FC Andorra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.