TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,874
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,874 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed Over35c12,222$4,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,966.611947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c8,780$5,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.993,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c6,705$3,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,704.784,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Over60c6,000$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over75c4,159$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.141060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Over64c3,372$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.31369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c3,170$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.9169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under25c1,503$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.7750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c1,296$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.922,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ae…58cebacked Over74c1,228$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c9…691fbacked Under26c1,228$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2dc…b624backed Over32c999.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.961926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under28c885.11$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8712626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under62c877.66$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.2935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc7…31a8backed Over74c777.53$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ef…ba02backed Under26c777.53$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under25c748.24$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.5275751%386 W · 371 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over59c599.98$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.993262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over79c570.49$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.564582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under62c548.72$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5928357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.914445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over53c491.3$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.322357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over75c462.21$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.613263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c443.16$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.891,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7817541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under61c400$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24511962.2%74 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under68c399.34$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7319260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6dc…a4a1backed Under10c388.89$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Over60c371.67$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.672544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over74c363.56$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3217466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over57c349.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8818656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over34c337.03$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.446159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under17c329$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.93520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under25c319.82$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9670050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over63c317.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.783259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under66c304.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9910464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Over35c299.94$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over53c283.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.183565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over43c278.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.156750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.786953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under38c274.24$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under64c267.28$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.615662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x039e…0b85backed Over74c262.08$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78b5…b505backed Under26c262.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a93…04ecbacked Over74c250.82$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18d…43dbbacked Under26c250.82$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+118.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under25c249.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51,04547.8%500 W · 545 L+15.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under58c247.96$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6717659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…5881backed Over41c246.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.241080%8 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+72.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd103…389abacked Under26c245.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09bf…70c1backed Over74c245.94$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over46c230.43$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.433540%14 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under52c227.29$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0922758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c218.31$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.621,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…785ebacked Under10c211.09$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.334665.2%30 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under41c199.81$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.481,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c191.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.791,57751.4%811 W · 766 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under43c172.44$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9517856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under60c157.07$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5716456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over49c155.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.494358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over54c149.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.63655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd831…cc54backed Over25c145.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over48c138$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.765967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over33c137.85$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under69c135.88$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.177150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf551…fb1dbacked Over52c129.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over65c120.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4622366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c114.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick8cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Under44c113.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over61c112.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.524757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over54c110.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9210155.4%56 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under62c107.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.857142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c106.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.341,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa86c…564dbacked Over33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c98.79$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2144524.3%108 W · 337 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Under62c96.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.042250%11 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over33c90.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.913060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over62c89.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.384843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under68c82.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.232860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over72c81.94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.948439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Under27c79.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.297550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.433154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over78c70$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.44271.4%30 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6722450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under60c65.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.273545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over47c64.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.29611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.