TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Zaragoza vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$60,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,646 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0a12…d3febacked Over50c10,427$5,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,204.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c4,633$2,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.714,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c3,129$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.2350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over28c2,944$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83217731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.121643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68022753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c1,966$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.763,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,927$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.492,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under51c1,411$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.212157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over47c1,319$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under53c1,143$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.95149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9913551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c1,067$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.4864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Over49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9921641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Under72c976.42$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.423265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4185…298dbacked Under52c971.7$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.47439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a8…c071backed Under53c901.08$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under71c855.56$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005143.1%22 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over49c810.26$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over34c743.01$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Under74c673.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under79c605.28$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2728357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under79c586.24$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0835759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under53c562.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.543161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over45c554.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.747440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under60c537.08$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8719260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over47c500$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2333560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under52c489.25$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.845650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under51c489.15$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.6812626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a7…aefcbacked Over50c455.76$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over46c443.37$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.98252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c439.76$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.8422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over20c418$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.66937.7%26 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb75…ba17backed Over32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under50c399.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.925662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under72c354.8$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.21,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Under69c337.14$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.331735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under50c324.42$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2130749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over48c322.1$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.613655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under63c320.75$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.681275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over48c313$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.176457.8%37 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over34c312.8$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3512470.2%87 W · 37 L+30.3wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over48c290.33$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under57c241$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c218$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2815451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over47c212.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.674755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under51c209.01$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4111853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under74c197.22$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.431,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Over27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over34c185.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9316363.8%104 W · 59 L+32.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+66.9%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xd831…cc54backed Over18c180.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…dccfbacked Under51c173.6$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over15c167.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265521.8%12 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under50c165.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.898961.8%55 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over48c158.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over48c146.46$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.561,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over45c143.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.788641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bf2…9959backed Over49c141.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Under53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over48c133.18$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.921,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under54c126.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7317856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Under54c124.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under51c106.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3910947.7%52 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over48c106.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7969750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under56c105.1$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4116456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c103.91$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under67c99.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.457150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c98.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf715…bbf0backed Over49c97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.534126.8%11 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over49c91.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over43c84.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.274847.9%23 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under51c82.61$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.487739%30 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over46c80.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over22c76.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over17c75.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over48c70.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7322366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3510348.5%50 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over23c69.87$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over49c69.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.115349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d5…59e2backed Over53c66.19$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over28c66.04$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5144424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Under53c65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.552948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe6f…3224backed Over49c61.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.992060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over39c58.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2320947.4%99 W · 110 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Over49c52.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.091942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over32c52.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253540%14 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.