TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b14…5301backed Under0c70,692$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.414712.8%6 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-65.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c3,604$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.163,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over45c2,601$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.923831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c2,184$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.294,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over38c1,787$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.552828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under55c1,421$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.971,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1e…5349backed Under41c1,137$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c888.14$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.771,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over52c880.77$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7722357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Under41c732.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over38c691.45$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over38c657$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.349629.2%28 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eef…4a0ebacked Over63c575.94$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over72c500.13$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1338748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+144.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under60c496.15$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.6961657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over47c430$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.91650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under59c406.41$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.455671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20437829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce0…6599backed Under11c349.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-75.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ad…1e6dbacked Over40c342.68$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.24450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under41c301.35$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over58c300$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12516149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under29c294.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.152,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over41c293.6$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.664358.1%25 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over60c285.97$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9717466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under61c285.62$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over36c276.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.233253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over61c270$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.718656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Under60c268.96$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.381747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under62c260.64$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under40c256.09$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.49336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under62c255.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under31c251.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.651,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8b…88cbbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+36%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under29c244$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.351,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under18c238.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.86922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick5cpaid+283.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under62c205.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4817856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under45c195.51$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.81,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over64c194.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.593565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under62c194.28$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5310957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Over57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.986159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under11c189.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.833013.3%4 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+350.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under63c160.28$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1533161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked Over40c160$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under63c154.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1817659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.529071.1%64 W · 26 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over71c141.8$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1213263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…8320backed Over52c134.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.881553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over65c134.75$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over70c134.09$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.233655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9515344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.88510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under61c114.92$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.531968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over69c108.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6819662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under34c105.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2189050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over48c104.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.795536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x199a…b9d4backed Under52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3ac…c267backed Over26c99.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.96742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Over43c83.25$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.731921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under68c79.46$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.255172.5%37 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over49c78.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.459655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under50c76.42$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.213751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over71c70.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.337647.4%36 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over40c67.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.772646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under49c61.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7979133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over40c61.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.854582.2%37 W · 8 L+10.0wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+40.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over75c60.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1818062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under58c57.37$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1c…dd59backed Under60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x400e…374bbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under30c49.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.855453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under72c40.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0711266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over46c39.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.613760.6%83 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over63c39.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.795036%18 W · 32 L-8.5wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-44.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under55c39.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.628670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.883154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Over56c37.44$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.514440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over60c36.95$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.653164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under29c36.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.491,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Under67c36.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.726963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over53c33.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.652941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f3…7a51backed Over32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x405b…e12bbacked Under49c30.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7710761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d6…fa72backed Over66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed Under53c29.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-57.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under57c29.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over62c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.032157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e510backed Over50c27.82$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.