La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f49ec1051042fef3ec856f82fc76a3c60c2bf155ba94156ac677e119e4fcc16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Over | 0c | 39,045$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 56c | 5,913$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 3,434$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 42c | 2,707$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 44c | 2,490$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 44c | 2,460$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.34 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 2,127$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.63 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 1,600$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.49 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 1,359$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.58 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 948.72$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.26 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 884.47$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.08 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 57c | 584.22$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 490.91$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 74c | 421.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 58c | 368.12$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.03 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 326.29$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.9 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 55c | 290.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 20c | 276.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 44c | 227.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 216.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 55c | 214.63$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 211.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.8 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 69c | 190.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 55c | 179.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 11c | 158.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 155.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 34c | 147.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 54c | 134.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 41c | 120.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 44c | 117.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 109.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 106.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Under | 62c | 103.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 21c | 102.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 100.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3482…fa0ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 45c | 99.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 62c | 99.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 98.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Under | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 72c | 68.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Over | 15c | 67.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 21c | 66.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 20c | 56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 64c | 46.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 25c | 43.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaa…e7efbacked Under | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 56c | 38.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Under | 56c | 33.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 57c | 32.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 43c | 31.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 46c | 28.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 55c | 27.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…e4f4backed Under | 57c | 26.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 76c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -8.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Under | 75c | 22.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 59c | 18.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Granada CF (-2.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)UD Las Palmas won
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)Granada CF won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Granada CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.