TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa06…1e0f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Dominika Salkovabacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.91
Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Maria Timofeevabacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Menorca: Miguel Damas vs Daniel Rinconbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.95
San Luis Potosi: Alan Magadan vs Matias Sotobacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$9.44
Barletta: Nerman Fatic vs Federico Bondiolibacked Nerman Fatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.91
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Menorca: Sandro Kopp vs Alejo Sanchez Quilezbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Barletta: Maxim Mrva vs Martin Krumichbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$14.02
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Credit One Charleston Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Sofia Keninbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.03
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Hugo Dellienbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Credit One Charleston Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.92
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.53
Credit One Charleston Open: Peyton Stearns vs Ashlyn Kruegerbacked Ashlyn Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Copa Colsanitas: Despina Papamichail vs Darja Semenistajabacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Bucharest Open: Nuno Borges vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$120.14
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Credit One Charleston Open: Mayar Sherif vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+261.8%+$26.67
Grand Prix Hassan II: Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Grand Prix Hassan II: Mattia Bellucci vs Reda Bennanibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$7.87
Grand Prix Hassan II: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.83
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.59
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.46
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$505
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will Iceland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$10.94
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Vietnam vs. Bangladesh: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$57.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+190.8%+$406.62
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$16.75
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.47
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+274.5%+$112.56
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+993.3%+$1,241.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.26
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$100.81
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+495%+$238.06
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$9.21
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$5.51
Will Tisza win at least 110 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$19.2
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$29.29
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.04
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$19.4
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.07
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.21
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$22.49
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+70.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+48.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.5%+$58.65
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$31.22
Canucks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+185.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$4.48
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$172.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+223.7%+$87.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.71
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$4.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+273%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+273%+$39.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$15.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hibernian FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.