Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb32148a2b4e94b3d050633ff6ade691a67569e3e7c27b6d4dfac0b660bda2215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 43c | 16,626$7,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.34 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 57c | 8,811$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,810.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 6,739$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.77 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 4,124$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.75 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 2,318$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.81 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.17 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 42c | 1,030$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 43c | 790.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 4c | 749.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 738$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 57c | 717.27$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 57c | 717.27$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.43 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 56c | 654.94$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 44c | 556.82$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 481$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 73c | 480.96$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.94 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 461.17$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 449.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 56c | 432$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 44c | 386.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.09 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 39c | 364$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 36c | 318.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…7863backed Over | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 44c | 234.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 43c | 195.68$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 28c | 178.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…a87bbacked Over | 39c | 156.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 57c | 138.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 136.03$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 43c | 119.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 107$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Over | 45c | 104.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 75c | 82.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 45c | 75.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Under | 67c | 74.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 21c | 71.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Over | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 33c | 56.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 56.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 45c | 54.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…4c5cbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8453…76bfbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 42c | 38.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…0114backed Under | 79c | 37.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -69%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Over | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 58c | 34.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 44c | 33.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Under | 58c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Over | 45c | 31.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b5…b692backed Under | 57c | 28.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 57c | 24.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 45c | 22.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 57c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked Under | 60c | 20.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff5f…b2e2backed Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 66c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed Under | 63c | 17.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.