TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over43c16,626$7,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,149.3418923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Under57c8,811$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,810.722240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under57c7,018$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.548354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c6,739$4,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.772,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c4,124$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.751,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c2,318$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.8198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over43c1,300$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55910940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c1,060$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.1791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Over42c1,030$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.563354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4301560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43068750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6945…873dbacked Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over43c790.7$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd411…7a18backed Over4c749.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c738$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.446328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under57c717.27$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.434557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under57c717.27$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.433056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under56c654.94$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.0336456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over44c556.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453813.2%5 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under57c481$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.8314258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under73c480.96$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under57c461.17$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.327453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over44c449.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19811348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under56c432$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over44c386.56$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over39c364$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.541315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-66.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ad9…4859backed Over36c318.29$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.45825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x941e…7863backed Over43c279.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1621548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over44c234.14$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.164156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8641954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over43c195.68$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over28c178.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Under56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Over39c156.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under57c138.53$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.577025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under61c136.03$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x473e…c0f6backed Over43c119.8$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.521435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506850%34 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508744.8%39 W · 48 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under57c107$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0142347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Over45c104.44$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over44c99.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.996538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9915844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Over45c86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under75c82.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0521748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9710456.7%59 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1132854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over45c75.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d76…6fd4backed Under67c74.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7810147.5%48 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under69c72.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4613653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over21c71.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Over43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.941942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Over33c56.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under57c56.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3815354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over45c54.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.611464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+45.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8311547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.646662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8453…76bfbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91d9…6c60backed Over43c44.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.862755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over43c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over42c38.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3321054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Under79c37.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-69%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Over43c34.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4810358.3%60 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under58c34.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.37365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0f…e047backed Over44c33.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1590%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaa06…1e0fbacked Under58c33.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Over45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156050%30 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over45c31.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.391650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under61c29$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4613157.3%75 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under57c28.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.072450%12 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over45c26.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Under57c24.05$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.253641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Over45c22.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under57c20.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.023366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked Under60c20.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.076471.9%46 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff5f…b2e2backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under66c19.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under63c17.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.551478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.