Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402ce1ab65cc813cc020d2a3ea572efd545a5416ce3d28bb11555cbb97aa2c7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21e8…b85ebacked Yes | 52c | 4,042$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 2,298$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.45 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 49c | 1,817$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.72 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,611$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.5 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 43c | 1,323$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.72 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked No | 50c | 889.54$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 49c | 710.94$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.89 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 541$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 532.73$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.85 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…95e3backed Yes | 50c | 510$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 51c | 472.55$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 67c | 364$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 331.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.45 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 308.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 301.46$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63f…3fa7backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 49c | 209.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.09 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…c6debacked Yes | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 50c | 201.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 187.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 49c | 155$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 46c | 149$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 8c | 141$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 139.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 50c | 120.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…15f4backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 39c | 76.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Yes | 49c | 67.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 49c | 46.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…d621backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…e5c3backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 49c | 27.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Cagliari Calcio won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.