TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ab8…d621

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
225
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$41.84
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$877Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$506.55
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$113.09
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.88
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.06
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$31
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.66
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.09
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.76
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.02
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$88.8
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.96
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.48
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$74.55
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$33.44
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.34
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.43
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.38
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.61
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+255.9%+$35.87
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.71
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.75
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.03
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.68
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.64
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.35
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.01
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.22
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.62
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.48
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.12
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.45
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.85
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.29
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.6
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$31.89
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.16
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$44.42
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.89
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.34
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.63
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.06
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.98
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.25
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.27
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+115.8%+$16.1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$123.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$49.09
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.57
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$15.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.68
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.63
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.29
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$8.61
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.19
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$37.7
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.17
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.35
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.82
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.43
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.69
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick62cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$65.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+80.1%+$229.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.57
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.44
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$16.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+119%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.43
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+129.6%+$16.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$10.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$40.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$20.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.