Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3064b68fe340a45b6a61972cc4c41e47d5c47ac8959ee23e4e9f62aee9fdd2fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 3,865$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.63 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 3,677$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.03 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 3,055$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.24 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 31c | 2,633$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.71 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,329$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.64 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 1,823$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.74 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…907cbacked Yes | 32c | 928.12$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…fb09backed Yes | 5c | 880.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 14cpaid | +194.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 770$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 534.5$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 507.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 762 | 55.9%426 W · 336 L | +38.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 7c | 263.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 38c | 205$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 178.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 151.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 32c | 121.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 85.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…d621backed Yes | 29c | 72.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…5743backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 71c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 69c | 33.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 70c | 33.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 29.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 26.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 24.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.