Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96aa094a99a2bf6275932006f0bb0677e183711e900264a994686777cecfef91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 9,257$6,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.95 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 52c | 6,021$3,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.55 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 54c | 5,121$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.68 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 38c | 4,018$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.32 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 28c | 3,515$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.06 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes | 28c | 3,009$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.05 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 2,856$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.47 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,986$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 55c | 1,786$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.71 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 1,764$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,357$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 1,117$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.7 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 29c | 1,013$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 42c | 741.83$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 38c | 726.78$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 41c | 672.31$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 663.61$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed No | 75c | 395.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 341.62$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 8c | 327.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 42c | 317.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Yes | 32c | 288.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd463…17ffbacked Yes | 27c | 281.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 238.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 214.13$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 42c | 201$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.42 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…2fd7backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 28c | 192.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 184.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 30c | 168.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 167.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 31c | 153.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2b…df2ebacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 44c | 125.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 65c | 110.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…5743backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 42c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yes | 35c | 79.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 42c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 64.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 562 | 45.4%255 W · 307 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked No | 53c | 57.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…c264backed Yes | 28c | 50.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 45c | 47.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 46c | 43.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 27c | 41.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 71c | 33.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 40c | 33.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…7529backed Yes | 32c | 32.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 31.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 73c | 29.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 72c | 29.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 70c | 25.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 72c | 21.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 20.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.