Asian League · resolved market
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b44967f4feb72802a567c20f8ae85c675c691070c22d6d57d78eb8d8ab1f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $112,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 25c | 31,126$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,420.81 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 6,086$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed No | 77c | 5,217$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.38 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 4,543$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.03 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 3,090$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.62 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Yes | 41c | 2,417$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,381$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 26c | 1,685$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 77c | 1,521$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.86 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 1,385$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.25 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 978.48$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.37 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 76c | 800$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.2 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 60c | 630$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Yes | 40c | 600$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked No | 60c | 568.55$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 76c | 561.48$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.43 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 458.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.87 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 449.83$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 54c | 430.85$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.74 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 45c | 418.44$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.14 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Yes | 46c | 380.82$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baf…7d44backed No | 9c | 329.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 303.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 57c | 227.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 209.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 36c | 208.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 186.25$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed No | 56c | 186.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 47c | 161.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…065dbacked Yes | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 73c | 145.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Yes | 44c | 119.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 49c | 101.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…1668backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked No | 66c | 60.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 44c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 45c | 59.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed No | 63c | 45.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…194cbacked Yes | 42c | 44.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 48c | 38.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 44c | 38.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 76c | 36.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 45c | 35.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…9871backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 45c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 67c | 33.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 42c | 32.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 47c | 30.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 88 | 6.8%6 W · 82 L | -22.0wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -78%equal weight | 28-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 67c | 30.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 54c | 26.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 73c | 19.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-07-04?No won
- Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.