TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b2b…df2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1586.7%13 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick77cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29%+$29.04
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick75cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.23
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.42
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.49
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick77cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$32.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.