TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, FURIA Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$564,327

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58f8…dc70backed T178c81,923$63,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,242.1840370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports21c65,000$13,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,899.961,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked FURIA Esports22c58,980$12,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,975.634647.8%22 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed FURIA Esports22c40,590$8,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,929.7751146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed T178c34,234$26,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,531.4621056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed FURIA Esports22c28,900$6,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,357.931952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA Esports23c27,967$6,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,432.4157246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked FURIA Esports20c27,278$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,455.6496048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd532…25efbacked FURIA Esports17c26,236$4,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,484.161637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed T179c24,242$19,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,977.8625546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA Esports20c22,222$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.41,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked T180c21,250$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,25024554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed FURIA Esports21c19,360$4,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.5889943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T178c16,081$12,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.092,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T179c15,000$11,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,10091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed T180c15,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00016258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed T179c13,013$10,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.3625345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed T178c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.5123672%170 W · 66 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed T179c12,400$9,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60459450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked FURIA Esports22c11,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42017555.4%97 W · 78 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked T177c10,145$7,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.3132555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed FURIA Esports21c8,074$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.5448742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc8…eb83backed T179c7,000$5,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.793455.9%19 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked FURIA Esports21c6,789$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.691,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed FURIA Esports22c6,649$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.2311249.1%55 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed FURIA Esports18c6,500$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed T178c6,400$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4086556.9%37 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA Esports22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed T178c6,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9746257.8%267 W · 195 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed T179c5,978$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.2614852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked T179c5,959$4,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.3625268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked FURIA Esports23c5,834$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.5929443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA Esports22c5,822$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.941,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa117…a311backed T178c5,606$4,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA Esports18c5,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9959554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d8…f6b6backed FURIA Esports13c5,163$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.175728.1%16 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdd…bf86backed T179c5,063$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed FURIA Esports20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030546.9%143 W · 162 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed T179c4,668$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.3510751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed T179c4,643$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9728859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked T177c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92015364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA Esports21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8401,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked T179c3,797$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.379853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dab…e2c1backed T180c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed FURIA Esports22c3,436$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.927744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA Esports19c3,159$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.6426729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed T177c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed FURIA Esports21c2,690$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.8211538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed FURIA Esports23c2,609$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…0b7bbacked T178c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.130554.8%167 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked FURIA Esports20c2,551$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6432442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked FURIA Esports23c2,533$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.5930321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990f…7f11backed FURIA Esports22c2,300$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed FURIA Esports23c2,232$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.7912341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf48…78e0backed T178c2,227$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked T178c2,188$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.31,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T178c2,121$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.621,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed T176c2,061$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9297854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed FURIA Esports22c2,023$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44517947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…7070backed T179c2,000$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42014562.1%90 W · 55 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed T178c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked T179c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.7382650%413 W · 413 L+3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked T178c1,864$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.0812653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5157…596fbacked T179c1,828$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked FURIA Esports22c1,818$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005825.9%15 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed FURIA Esports15c1,557$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.942,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked T178c1,557$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5419758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked T178c1,536$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.822748%109 W · 118 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed FURIA Esports20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8579…185fbacked T177c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3459046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed T179c1,500$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9946263.9%295 W · 167 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked T178c1,491$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0318459.8%110 W · 74 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked FURIA Esports21c1,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.14553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed T177c1,429$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.5748763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA Esports21c1,402$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.51,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed FURIA Esports23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc92…5667backed FURIA Esports23c1,287$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2968334.9%29 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed T178c1,278$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.249461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked T179c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8235353.5%189 W · 164 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked T179c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.8215443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked FURIA Esports23c1,263$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.419336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked T178c1,152$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.949451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA Esports21c1,111$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.311,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed T180c1,110$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22229761.6%183 W · 114 L-12.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0d…40cabacked T178c1,051$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.286361.9%39 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed T178c1,035$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6265063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a75…fc33backed T178c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6420151.2%103 W · 98 L+11.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked T179c1,011$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.313046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed FURIA Esports22c1,001$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1762451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed FURIA Esports23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked T177c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23032350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked T177c999.97$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9921150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed T180c998.49$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.636241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FURIA Esports21c913.08$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6721844%96 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed T178c900$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19864453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed FURIA Esports12c807.75$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.677869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed FURIA Esports23c782.61$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18028235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a9d…5521backed T178c771.04$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.636963.8%44 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed FURIA Esports21c746$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.662222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked FURIA Esports22c743.88$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7520143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.