Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2788ba57ae4ba25c7f873c58d1e4b6f1ada7d0e97c9bfd56c7a32cd62b76c22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd991…c161backed FURIA Esports | 61c | 5,207$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.5 | 319 | 55.8%178 W · 141 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 5,004$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 2,560$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 2,311$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.53 | 304 | 21.7%66 W · 238 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked T1 | 31c | 1,716$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.38 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed T1 | 50c | 1,644$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.42 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 1,383$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 567.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed T1 | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA Esports | 3c | 337.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 326.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 316.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…2f2abacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 302.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…d4f6backed FURIA Esports | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed T1 | 33c | 246$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed T1 | 38c | 137.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked T1 | 65c | 124$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?FURIA Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?FURIA Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.