Lol · resolved market
LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72bdc0fab144240659eda3d63506060cc4840e9e617aed9f818aedfedd983e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of T1, FURIA Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $932,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,060,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $932,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 34,744$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.29 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 29,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed FURIA Esports | 3c | 25,727$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.33 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 25,657$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.32 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FURIA Esports | 5c | 23,484$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.42 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 21,597$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.78 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 16,135$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.8 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…f6b6backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 12,848$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.38 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…7f8fbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 12,241$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 12,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.76 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 10,892$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.44 | 547 | 56.9%311 W · 236 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked FURIA Esports | 2c | 10,447$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 9,687$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.35 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 9,290$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 9,273$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.11 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…fe79backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 9,107$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 305 | 46.9%143 W · 162 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 9,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 325 | 55.7%181 W · 144 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 8,935$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 8,601$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.74 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 8,588$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.96 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 499 | 40.7%203 W · 296 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…21d7backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 7,790$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 7,329$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…6857backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 7,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 6,763$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 6,363$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 5,985$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.08 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…c175backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 5,555$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.85 | 407 | 26.8%109 W · 298 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 5,189$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.34 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed FURIA Esports | 4c | 5,011$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FURIA Esports | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde3…e14bbacked FURIA Esports | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 4,841$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.01 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 4,200$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 4,160$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed FURIA Esports | 5c | 4,160$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7c…70f2backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 3,999$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 485 | 33.6%163 W · 322 L | +23.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 3,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 3,428$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.9 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…f2bebacked FURIA Esports | 2c | 3,333$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 3,323$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.84 | 233 | 32.6%76 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 3,240$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 3,147$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…e08fbacked FURIA Esports | 1c | 3,041$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 3,036$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.87 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed FURIA Esports | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 226 | 40.7%92 W · 134 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed FURIA Esports | 2c | 3,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…00e9backed FURIA Esports | 3c | 2,996$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,899$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 689 | 42.5%293 W · 396 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,750$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…79ddbacked FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,717$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ae…b929backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 484 | 38%184 W · 300 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 2,589$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…9405backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,545$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 189 | 10.1%19 W · 170 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 2,491$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…a16fbacked FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,442$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 2,092$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 2,050$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,028$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked FURIA Esports | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed FURIA Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 1,890$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.31 | 671 | 15.4%103 W · 568 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,563$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,560$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 218 | 28.4%62 W · 156 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked FURIA Esports | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…5f14backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,461$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FURIA Esports | 6c | 1,381$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.28 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,308$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.43 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…506fbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,209$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 668 | 43%287 W · 381 L | -29.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…6c4abacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,188$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 573 | 47.6%273 W · 300 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…5fbdbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 1,175$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5cbfbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,110$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 337 | 36.5%123 W · 214 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 1,088$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,030$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.42 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,024$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac7…8a43backed FURIA Esports | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…861bbacked FURIA Esports | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 837.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 824$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 806$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 760.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 750$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked FURIA Esports | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…83afbacked FURIA Esports | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 420 | 2.6%11 W · 409 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FURIA Esports | 8c | 683.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…aa12backed FURIA Esports | 9c | 633.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed FURIA Esports | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed FURIA Esports | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?FURIA Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?FURIA Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.