Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4d6180befb0afd611afadf29113766bdb4b1e9b11af51b7e76b4f420a498f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8430…3961backed Over | 66c | 2,712$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.47 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 44c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.96 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 48c | 1,922$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.34 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…e499backed Under | 50c | 1,082$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 32c | 895.16$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 52c | 543.19$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.46 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 44c | 513.64$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8dbebacked Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 48c | 337.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Under | 33c | 304.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Under | 53c | 297.54$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 51c | 283.59$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2a…6ce3backed Over | 48c | 209.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.7 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 49c | 190.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 52c | 169.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 168.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.41 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Under | 52c | 119.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Over | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…7f82backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…464cbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 49c | 99.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 44c | 99.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 56c | 89.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…f700backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 46c | 73.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 49c | 59.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…e06cbacked Under | 63c | 55.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Under | 57c | 52.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f4…c6eebacked Under | 56c | 45.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 51c | 41.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…ba49backed Under | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 45c | 33.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Under | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Over | 38c | 26.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…678dbacked Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Over | 51c | 22.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 64c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?FURIA Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?FURIA Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.