Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57f70bcab477fb4aaed9f5d221898ddb87f50d3b46f8a1761ac2cc830684424d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Over | 49c | 1,043$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.84 | 338 | 38.2%129 W · 209 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 49c | 749.64$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.04 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 48c | 623.17$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Under | 51c | 622.46$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 51c | 542.54$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 49c | 469.33$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 47c | 349.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 37c | 255.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…f351backed Under | 50c | 230.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…f437backed Over | 53c | 188.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Under | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.61 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 53c | 175.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 56c | 174.58$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Over | 58c | 137.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -10.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 12c | 128.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 52c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Over | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 324 | 47.5%154 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked Under | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 52c | 84.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 49c | 77.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Over | 43c | 69.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 44c | 62.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 48c | 57.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 57c | 56.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Over | 50c | 48.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Over | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Over | 54c | 46.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…e06cbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Over | 50c | 42.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7954…678dbacked Under | 54c | 37.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8e…1b02backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Under | 55c | 30.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Over | 47c | 30.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…83e1backed Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 22.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 52c | 21.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcae…8b25backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?FURIA Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?FURIA Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.