Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd0b8ee6fbbaceccb501fed97e6e0c1f1ccdaad79b9aec29e5c6d1e0f9637616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 49c | 429.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 102 | 31.4%32 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…3c6dbacked Under | 50c | 360.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Under | 56c | 311.46$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 60c | 305.78$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339d…b918backed Over | 11c | 203.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 41c | 189.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Over | 63c | 181.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 52c | 172.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under | 47c | 128.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 66c | 122.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 27c | 120.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 49c | 100.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 48c | 84.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Under | 52c | 74.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…234bbacked Under | 38c | 61.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 31c | 56.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cb…48c4backed Under | 38c | 53.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Over | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…ac6cbacked Under | 54c | 45.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 34c | 45.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 62c | 44.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 61c | 41.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…e499backed Under | 36c | 32.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…b342backed Over | 62c | 32.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…2721backed Over | 63c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 278 | 63.3%176 W · 102 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Over | 57c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Over | 59c | 26.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…05f5backed Under | 45c | 22.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Under | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…907dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?FURIA Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?FURIA Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.