Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bbdd296e0d6131d34c569ae5afe330b2eb7076a5ea9f293eaf1cdb8ec62836d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0410…e499backed Under | 34c | 699.69$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Over | 61c | 535.73$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.96 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Over | 68c | 441.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 40c | 332.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.77 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 277.64$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Over | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 36c | 233.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.47 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 67c | 214.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 31c | 203.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4856…3c6dbacked Under | 35c | 186.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…5b2ebacked Over | 65c | 184.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Under | 40c | 147.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 233 | 30%70 W · 163 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797c…2038backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…c6e6backed Under | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 127 | 43.3%55 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Over | 38c | 78.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Over | 64c | 77.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 37cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…caaebacked Under | 36c | 77.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…0ff4backed Under | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8231…3301backed Over | 64c | 51.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 59c | 50.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4a…234bbacked Under | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 33c | 39.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…f5d4backed Over | 65c | 38.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Over | 67c | 37.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 48c | 37.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe028…ac6cbacked Under | 59c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…ae8bbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Under | 67c | 28.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 166 | 54.2%90 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Over | 69c | 26.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 317 | 50.8%161 W · 156 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…a618backed Over | 65c | 26.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1486…cef3backed Over | 67c | 25.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Over | 67c | 25.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Under | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 232 | 64.2%149 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Over | 54c | 24.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ff34backed Under | 66c | 24.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…907dbacked Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?T1 won
- First Blood in Game 2?FURIA Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?FURIA Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)T1 won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: T1 vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.