TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6918…782bbacked Under55c26,433$14,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,849.51,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over45c13,225$5,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9231,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.189853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over47c4,634$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1904060%24 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over44c3,106$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,366.7733838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under51c3,000$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.9889050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Over28c2,174$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.712825%7 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Over47c2,173$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.4628235.1%99 W · 183 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Under58c2,101$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.4237754.1%204 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Over46c2,010$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.065133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.2wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Over46c1,980$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.81450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over44c1,551$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.2324832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed Over45c1,531$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.611442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Over45c1,484$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.172055%11 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed Under73c1,188$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.078538.8%33 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over48c1,173$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.6535442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Over44c1,087$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1216933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Over46c1,052$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.0419731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under55c1,024$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.732,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010539%41 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Over45c1,000$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4451225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Over59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9918132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked Under52c981.17$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.965429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over46c972.22$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45090537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under54c971.7$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9420143.8%88 W · 113 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Under54c887.03$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.9616654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over45c775.94$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.173,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Over58c701.56$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.7586943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over46c700.07$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0311943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Over8c700$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over27c632.89$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8816819.6%33 W · 135 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Under43c630.49$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.1814228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Over45c594$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.313534.1%46 W · 89 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under50c555$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.51,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Over46c549$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5413933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2306240.3%25 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307839.7%31 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba6c…618bbacked Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Over45c500$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22442149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde41…58bdbacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304665.2%30 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50f4…04d4backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Over58c450.14$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.331,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6376…d0a7backed Over45c444.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Over51c440$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.922,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+82.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Over66c387.5$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4769841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over46c377.84$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1410231.4%32 W · 70 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-0.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1976…9c89backed Under54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under52c335.51$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5120551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14b…4ff2backed Over44c293.18$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-59.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Over45c263.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Over45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca8…b713backed Under40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15013444.8%60 W · 74 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceb1…f700backed Under51c215.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.861241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…f437backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005257.7%30 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f03…9372backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c202.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.042,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Under71c183.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.119860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed4e…916fbacked Under54c142.59$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5916654.2%90 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over40c140.73$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.957938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf306…4cf8backed Over57c128.8$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.183426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Over78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over50c125$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.54540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under25c118.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1814841.2%61 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+67.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under56c107.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6510657.5%61 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c7…ba3ebacked Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5933069.7%230 W · 100 L+28.7wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0aaa…c6e6backed Over50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012743.3%55 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95e…102abacked Over45c93.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.094351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over56c91.88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4596149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under51c74.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.741,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc3…0e9cbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301520%3 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Under46c65.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.55248.1%25 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over52c64.12$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3461746.5%287 W · 330 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Under71c61.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.973650%18 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7954…678dbacked Under72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.566771.6%48 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over54c52.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.268750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Over45c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.425551.4%131 W · 124 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbc6…464cbacked Under56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225747.4%27 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over45c49.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4141749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4563458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1e…05f5backed Over44c45.27$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over25c41.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.432447.5%154 W · 170 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5151…645cbacked Under42c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.245444.3%201 W · 253 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over52c37.23$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4926154.8%143 W · 118 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under48c36.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.071,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over42c31.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.111146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Under39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.36836.8%25 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba5e…a326backed Under70c28.59$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.591275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24c1…83e1backed Under72c26.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.561546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Under54c25.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9331750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Over64c23.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510573.3%77 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd59b…e06cbacked Under49c22.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.343154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under55c20.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5439555.2%218 W · 177 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9359…8b15backed Under72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.837550.7%38 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0076…b1b6backed Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.610673.6%78 W · 28 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.