TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,569
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,861

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,569 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over21c5,888$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.51,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under78c5,016$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.1769741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Under78c4,830$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.6121859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Over21c3,936$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.6448742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed Over18c3,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9914553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over24c3,334$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.492,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Under79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.858055%44 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over12c2,476$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0410…e499backed Over22c1,659$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.961717.6%3 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under78c1,578$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1314852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f8…dc70backed Under77c1,275$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2840370.2%283 W · 120 L+31.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13dc…3d01backed Over7c1,254$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under75c1,178$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.811,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over23c1,067$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.761,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…0fdfbacked Under79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6631849.7%158 W · 160 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over13c997.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4732442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over21c965.04$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9162451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under77c872.6$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.71,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under75c833.24$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20597854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over20c781.6$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3296048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under77c750$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.532555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Over21c746$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.662222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under78c722.1$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.861,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under76c714.62$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.8425447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Under78c700$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15419959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Under79c694.94$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9449451.8%256 W · 238 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over15c664.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.635545.4%161 W · 194 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Under79c631.46$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.617652.6%40 W · 36 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Over16c625.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under75c610.03$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.652,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over23c605.15$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7942735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Over22c599.98$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9911344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked Under78c593.35$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5467553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over19c543.34$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.181,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832b…3ae1backed Under76c538.99$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3629758.2%173 W · 124 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0a…8527backed Under78c515.6$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.43837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Under76c508.86$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.6111146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Under79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10528859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over18c449.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9924643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over23c446.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1935442.1%149 W · 205 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over21c443.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.078929.2%26 W · 63 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over26c439$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1519553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e23…1c3dbacked Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007859%46 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under78c424.99$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.519758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8864453.9%347 W · 297 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed Over22c395.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710046%46 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over13c383.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Over22c377.27$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over21c368.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.454529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Under79c350.81$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6741347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ae…c7dfbacked Over25c347$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Under80c343.75$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7566058.8%388 W · 272 L-36.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Over13c329.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4619346.6%90 W · 103 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…deffbacked Under79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4628942.9%124 W · 165 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6060243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5734849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over24c299.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9714228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Over7c285.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6b…6e11backed Under79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaaa…b0c3backed Under79c252.44$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under79c251.87$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cea…181dbacked Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Under76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602045%9 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e5…b040backed Under79c248.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.222954.1%124 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Over21c247.62$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Over22c235$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.451,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd671…487ebacked Under65c230$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.54856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa012…fe65backed Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+209%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Under79c210.16$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.748852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under66c206$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.691,92435.9%691 W · 1,233 L-97.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba56…10e8backed Over23c203.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.916523.1%15 W · 50 L-9.6wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-46.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Over23c202.17$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Over23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed1c…2e25backed Under78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448661.6%53 W · 33 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under78c199.97$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9989050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Over23c194.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7690537.5%339 W · 566 L-18.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over20c192$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.413242.4%56 W · 76 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under75c188.66$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.241,35731.2%423 W · 934 L-129.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Under79c185$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8535848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ee…7d5dbacked Under79c181.03$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Under79c180.89$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.992744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over21c174.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.162,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over22c151.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.397938%30 W · 49 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5f6…2946backed Under68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064037.5%15 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+78%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Under79c143.14$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.068749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over21c142.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.851,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under76c141$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.126051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1217…d5d3backed Under76c137.14$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.911553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over36c137.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3612843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over22c132.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7212341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under75c129$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.282,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over22c122.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.539445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under80c120.12$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.451,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Under79c119.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.14465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over18c115$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…fd66backed Over19c113.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5910146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.