TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,063,834
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,884,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,063,834 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed No78c446,550$348,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,475.0374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ce…16ecbacked Yes24c200,000$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c111,771$22,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,462.688,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb254…3115backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100740%0 W · 74 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No79c82,680$65,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,480.6129952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes22c74,085$16,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,407.413,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c68,142$10,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,661.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0838…63b1backed Yes21c46,490$9,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,762.861435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes23c42,200$9,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,730.382045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Yes4c41,123$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes22c39,885$8,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,774.6333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No76c39,523$30,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,413.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes14c37,315$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,224.0632031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Yes21c34,921$7,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,272.4838333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No80c33,387$26,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7619948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e4…c771backed Yes19c20,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8005939%23 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes22c18,304$4,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,112.081,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes24c16,667$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes24c16,204$3,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,888.882740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c15,365$11,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366.6942043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes21c14,286$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes15c13,040$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.953818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes4c12,831$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.315322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No79c11,976$9,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,514.9456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…a43ebacked Yes22c11,889$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.86728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick19cpaid-26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes13c11,823$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.565835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No80c11,732$9,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,404.3424441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes23c11,272$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,587.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes3c11,096$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.227018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes2c10,266$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.53953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.947269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked No79c9,325$7,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.218048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No76c9,000$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes24c8,888$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,133.1242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c8,763$1,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,770.642,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes23c8,502$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.4428133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1af…c4d1backed No77c8,360$6,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.817745.8%81 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1d…1a19backed Yes23c8,333$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.596021.7%13 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c8,265$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.771705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes22c7,968$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7532040%8 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No77c6,929$5,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.665851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78cd…6a61backed No78c6,213$4,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.863171%22 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes5c6,188$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.4674034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Yes15c6,143$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9009219.6%18 W · 74 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes23c6,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35015127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9822451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked Yes15c5,827$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.021315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-72.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No77c5,723$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.294075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes21c5,665$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.9179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked No77c5,600$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c5,542$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.464,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36c…b39dbacked Yes21c5,346$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.56419.8%4 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-70.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c5,252$4,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.8476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aae…e567backed Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+69.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb37…7d86backed Yes22c4,940$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-41.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd63a…9603backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdadf…db89backed Yes20c4,759$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.861233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+84.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c4,708$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.291,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes2c4,578$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73b2…092dbacked Yes20c4,557$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.031711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c4,330$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6134122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes16c4,323$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.5710624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d8…6b26backed Yes2c4,307$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes21c4,286$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd16…0be8backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Yes20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007733.8%26 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb755…b009backed Yes21c3,976$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8351450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+138.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes23c3,832$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.4993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…904cbacked Yes21c3,810$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005841.4%24 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes6c3,645$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No79c3,505$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.5633549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No76c3,453$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.721,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…1846backed Yes15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes14c3,300$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4544544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No77c3,012$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.841968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes21c3,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c41…5333backed Yes3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.9923255.2%128 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Yes17c2,948$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4906838.2%26 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes16c2,920$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.3729333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c2,885$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9feb…971fbacked Yes15c2,872$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Yes13c2,786$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.738942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe14b…1ad3backed No77c2,743$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.861050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No79c2,658$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.292,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…05d3backed Yes23c2,648$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes24c2,642$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.2426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Yes24c2,625$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6303420.6%7 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-55.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb4eb…d14bbacked Yes18c2,527$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.355831%18 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46c5…267cbacked Yes21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5251844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Yes14c2,440$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.67337%27 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes15c2,427$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36414231.7%45 W · 97 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes15c2,414$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0836634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes21c2,406$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.247229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes18c2,388$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.235424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes23c2,384$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.5621633.8%73 W · 143 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.