Lol · resolved market

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ec41a233e8dcf42590f1cc4f878366c020645e5d55f90e6384257efb87faf78

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: SU Esportsof Shark Attack, SU Esports
Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $116,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $153,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Shark Attack	16c	6,489$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.76	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Shark Attack	12c	6,157$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$753.29	153	33.3%51 W · 102 L	+7.8wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b80…e5dfbacked Shark Attack	15c	3,211$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	102	23.5%24 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Shark Attack	10c	2,174$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.79	411	33.8%139 W · 272 L	-28.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Shark Attack	12c	2,078$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.48	108	34.3%37 W · 71 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Shark Attack	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Shark Attack	13c	1,644$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.68	1,113	39%434 W · 679 L	-44.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccc6…f2a4backed Shark Attack	10c	1,545$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdd2…0abfbacked Shark Attack	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	25.9%15 W · 43 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Shark Attack	20c	1,259$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.99	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-7.1wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5dd9…420fbacked SU Esports	80c	1,129$902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.58	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.20per pick	71cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Shark Attack	18c	1,036$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.84	448	46.2%207 W · 241 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Shark Attack	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	123	43.9%54 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Shark Attack	17c	868.73$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.41	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Shark Attack	13c	852.39$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.81	438	37.9%166 W · 272 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3c…5937backed Shark Attack	10c	850.94$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	84	63.1%53 W · 31 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Shark Attack	12c	735.1$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	592	48.3%286 W · 306 L	+15.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Shark Attack	16c	718$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.22	282	35.1%99 W · 183 L	-10.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4873…e5d8backed Shark Attack	11c	700$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-4.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Shark Attack	12c	607.95$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.95	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Shark Attack	13c	592.31$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x920a…29e0backed Shark Attack	18c	585.69$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.56	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Shark Attack	13c	559.46$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	539	32.5%175 W · 364 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Shark Attack	13c	529.84$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.88	354	42.1%149 W · 205 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…4349backed Shark Attack	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Shark Attack	11c	444.77$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	245	35.9%88 W · 157 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shark Attack	13c	422.22$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.97	1,058	23.5%249 W · 809 L	-75.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Shark Attack	17c	411.76$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	43.8%39 W · 50 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Shark Attack	16c	403.62$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	197	52.8%104 W · 93 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3045…195cbacked Shark Attack	20c	379.49$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	34cpaid	+62.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f9a…000dbacked Shark Attack	12c	364.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Shark Attack	10c	360.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.23	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ae…df49backed Shark Attack	12c	360$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	233	32.6%76 W · 157 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Shark Attack	10c	359.98$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Shark Attack	14c	357.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	253	32%81 W · 172 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked Shark Attack	13c	348$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-5.0wins	-0.24per pick	43cpaid	-60.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Shark Attack	14c	325$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed5f…5c45backed Shark Attack	17c	302.3$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…33a4backed Shark Attack	13c	286$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	+84.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Shark Attack	23c	275.57$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.18	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2b…df2ebacked Shark Attack	11c	253.55$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.89	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1aa5…00b2backed Shark Attack	18c	250.23$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d1d…c307backed Shark Attack	15c	244.58$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.31	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b51…cf1ebacked Shark Attack	13c	238$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Shark Attack	21c	237.14$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	0%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xad43…1a69backed Shark Attack	13c	236.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x530d…cb00backed Shark Attack	9c	229.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a7…e8a5backed Shark Attack	6c	211.62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Shark Attack	18c	202.24$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.79	238	42.9%102 W · 136 L	-21.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4e47…3475backed Shark Attack	10c	199$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92a9…c6fbbacked Shark Attack	10c	195$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Shark Attack	12c	183.33$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	239	38.1%91 W · 148 L	-16.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Shark Attack	16c	171$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	12cpaid	+48%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Shark Attack	13c	169$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.97	218	36.7%80 W · 138 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Shark Attack	13c	161.37$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Shark Attack	17c	149$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cb5…2d03backed Shark Attack	18c	136.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Shark Attack	10c	132.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	169	33.1%56 W · 113 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Shark Attack	13c	131.41$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Shark Attack	13c	123.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	447	45.2%202 W · 245 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Shark Attack	17c	120.39$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.06	180	51.1%92 W · 88 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Shark Attack	12c	117.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.1	255	40.8%104 W · 151 L	-26.0wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-29%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56bf…0852backed Shark Attack	10c	115$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ba…b673backed Shark Attack	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	90	28.9%26 W · 64 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Shark Attack	11c	99.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	50	46%23 W · 27 L	+4.7wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+76%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Shark Attack	18c	96.42$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.07	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…3df7backed Shark Attack	15c	80$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.94	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Shark Attack	19c	68.68$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6609…4e73backed Shark Attack	18c	61.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Insthis page
Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)SU Esports won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-Ins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event