Lol · resolved market
LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7d4a797b5275d1de0989b8f9a52b456c1d911a9e57b790720cc7e7d3de29d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Shark Attack, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Shark Attack | 18c | 12,765$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.42 | 122 | 26.2%32 W · 90 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SU Esports | 79c | 9,520$7,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.7 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SU Esports | 69c | 3,398$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.47 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SU Esports | 78c | 2,412$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Shark Attack | 19c | 2,278$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.73 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Shark Attack | 20c | 1,461$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.1 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Shark Attack | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SU Esports | 76c | 1,085$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 1,348 | 47.3%637 W · 711 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Shark Attack | 21c | 1,009$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked SU Esports | 78c | 751.99$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.44 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Shark Attack | 20c | 736$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Shark Attack | 21c | 682.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Shark Attack | 19c | 621.05$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shark Attack | 18c | 603.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed Shark Attack | 21c | 509.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SU Esports | 71c | 425.67$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked SU Esports | 70c | 408.87$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 290 | 45.5%132 W · 158 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…fff9backed Shark Attack | 5c | 399.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 566 | 10.4%59 W · 507 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SU Esports | 80c | 389.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Shark Attack | 27c | 375.03$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…1cb2backed SU Esports | 80c | 350.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…0261backed SU Esports | 70c | 331.15$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Shark Attack | 24c | 325$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Shark Attack | 22c | 268.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shark Attack | 15c | 218.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Shark Attack | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked SU Esports | 70c | 203.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 340 | 40.6%138 W · 202 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Shark Attack | 33c | 196.62$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.9 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…be09backed Shark Attack | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Shark Attack | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 288 | 35.4%102 W · 186 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Shark Attack | 18c | 181.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SU Esports | 70c | 180.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…2305backed SU Esports | 80c | 171.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed SU Esports | 68c | 141.94$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked SU Esports | 77c | 137.31$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…764fbacked SU Esports | 77c | 128.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed SU Esports | 78c | 128.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Shark Attack | 21c | 109.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed SU Esports | 70c | 107.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Shark Attack | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 793 | 42.1%334 W · 459 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Shark Attack | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Shark Attack | 26c | 96.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Shark Attack | 19c | 91.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked SU Esports | 74c | 87.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 178 | 32.6%58 W · 120 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed SU Esports | 73c | 85.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed SU Esports | 70c | 85.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa5…00b2backed SU Esports | 70c | 83.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…ad2abacked SU Esports | 70c | 83.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed SU Esports | 80c | 81.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed SU Esports | 71c | 81.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SU Esports | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shark Attack | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed SU Esports | 70c | 70.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed SU Esports | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Shark Attack | 21c | 56.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 363 | 38.8%141 W · 222 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shark Attack | 28c | 49.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed SU Esports | 75c | 45.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SU Esports | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SU Esports | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked SU Esports | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed SU Esports | 71c | 38.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed SU Esports | 67c | 20.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed SU Esports | 76c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 82 | 81.7%67 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…3db0backed SU Esports | 61c | 19.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 217 | 29.5%64 W · 153 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b78…5ce6backed SU Esports | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SU Esports | 68c | 18.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Shark Attack (+1.5)SU Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-InsSU Esports won
- LoL: Shark Attack vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.