Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dc303f38989cb917d84c2262e75de49ddcdcb11eb450ac3abbde9bb3d7ec545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $931,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 669 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 132,869$77,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,269.77 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Under | 41c | 95,624$39,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,206.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 34c | 89,110$30,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,287.71 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 27c | 62,551$16,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,785.8 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Under | 1c | 29,997$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 74c | 20,157$14,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.88 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 18,301$11,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.81 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 55c | 17,191$9,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,455.19 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 15,972$5,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335.54 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 70c | 13,106$9,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.66 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 61c | 12,500$7,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.99 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 39c | 11,522$4,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,493.53 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…530abacked Over | 74c | 10,885$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 70c | 10,416$7,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.42 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 74c | 10,223$7,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.03 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed Under | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over | 73c | 8,500$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…f2d9backed Over | 62c | 7,907$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 43c | 6,989$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,983.39 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x24f0…7ad4backed Over | 76c | 6,567$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.67 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 6,534$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 69c | 6,428$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.73 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 6,381$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.34 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3c…3111backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 56c | 5,629$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.41 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 5,593$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.94 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over | 73c | 5,583$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.37 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 5,566$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Over | 74c | 5,251$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.15 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Under | 1c | 4,933$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 74c | 4,283$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.92 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over | 73c | 4,061$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.56 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Over | 45c | 3,739$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Under | 56c | 3,620$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed Under | 26c | 3,524$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.65 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…c3ebbacked Over | 71c | 3,500$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf93…e5e9backed Over | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +41%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…3c50backed Over | 69c | 3,226$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 69c | 3,148$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.3 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72de…53ffbacked Under | 29c | 3,090$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…1e89backed Over | 75c | 3,018$2,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.36 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 39c | 2,995$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.37 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 27c | 2,807$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over | 76c | 2,507$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…37f9backed Under | 43c | 2,350$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 28c | 2,311$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.08 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…f72bbacked Under | 55c | 2,288$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 55c | 2,257$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.34 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 55c | 2,257$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.87 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 43c | 2,249$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.76 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 16c | 2,211$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.02 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Over | 75c | 2,179$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Over | 44c | 2,170$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.2 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 34c | 2,131$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.8 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 69c | 2,078$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.76 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over | 73c | 2,048$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…5d2ebacked Over | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 74c | 2,005$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d29…0206backed Over | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Under | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 75c | 1,773$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.73 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 31c | 1,650$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.83 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Over | 72c | 1,640$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.4 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 74c | 1,623$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 78c | 1,588$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.42 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 64c | 1,553$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.89 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 1c | 1,527$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 73c | 1,521$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…b8fabacked Over | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…4777backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…92c0backed Over | 75c | 1,410$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…dd5fbacked Over | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 59c | 1,340$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.74 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Over | 73c | 1,339$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 45c | 1,304$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.13 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Over | 75c | 1,293$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.27 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under | 28c | 1,271$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 75c | 1,259$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 27c | 1,123$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.09 | 137 | 36.5%50 W · 87 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Over | 44c | 1,103$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 71c | 1,056$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 73c | 1,038$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 1c | 1,031$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 72c | 1,023$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.45 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…716bbacked Over | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Over | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…6207backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…3385backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42a…87d6backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…bad2backed Under | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Under | 55c | 999.96$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Under | 56c | 994.16$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.73 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.