TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$836,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$931,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 669 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over58c132,869$77,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,269.771,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Under41c95,624$39,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,206.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under34c89,110$30,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,287.7142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under27c62,551$16,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,785.877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under1c29,997$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.979742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over74c20,157$14,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.887943%34 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c18,301$11,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,426.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under55c17,191$9,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,455.197949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under33c15,972$5,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,335.542,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over70c13,106$9,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.6628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over61c12,500$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.994178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under39c11,522$4,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,493.5313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over74c10,885$8,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8303855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over70c10,416$7,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.423,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over74c10,223$7,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.031643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…f74bbacked Over73c8,500$6,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2956334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Over62c7,907$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,988.282962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over43c6,989$3,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.3934964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Over76c6,567$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.675442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under35c6,534$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.34,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over69c6,428$4,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.7339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c6,381$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.341,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under56c5,629$3,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.4136247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c5,593$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.941,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Over73c5,583$4,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.3711561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c5,566$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.58,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over74c5,251$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.1511963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,75059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Under1c4,933$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.337358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over74c4,283$3,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc2…10dcbacked Over73c4,061$2,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.564852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…a565backed Over45c3,739$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e3…22cbbacked Under56c3,620$2,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,027.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under26c3,524$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.657533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3407…c3ebbacked Over71c3,500$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.112433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbf93…e5e9backed Over45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.333751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+41%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Over69c3,226$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over69c3,148$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.343248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Under29c3,090$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8926243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over75c3,018$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.366434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under39c2,995$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.3733740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under27c2,807$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7452,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x875f…aaddbacked Over73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.733432.4%11 W · 23 L-6.9wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over76c2,507$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.612552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under43c2,350$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0045543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under28c2,311$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.0828025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0231…f72bbacked Under55c2,288$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.591931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+92.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under55c2,257$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.3416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under55c2,257$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.8711558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over43c2,249$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.7685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under16c2,211$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.0226647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc126…60aebacked Over75c2,179$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over44c2,170$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.25429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under34c2,131$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.81,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over69c2,078$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.761,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bad…1e9ebacked Over73c2,048$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.0112451.6%64 W · 60 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0318340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over74c2,005$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.771,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Over59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8202572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9915128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over75c1,773$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7358642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under31c1,650$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.832,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over72c1,640$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.414463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over74c1,623$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.488561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over78c1,588$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.422,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over64c1,553$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.8959453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,527$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8122029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over73c1,521$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0826455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Over44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403941%16 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.893644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde27…92c0backed Over75c1,410$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9701…dd5fbacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.351250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over59c1,340$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.7463255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Over73c1,339$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.522733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over45c1,304$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.1312146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814e…40b1backed Over75c1,293$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.273060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f9a…3f4bbacked Under28c1,271$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3562532%8 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over75c1,259$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.846851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Under27c1,123$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0913736.5%50 W · 87 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1112334.1%42 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Over44c1,103$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.952540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.9645428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over71c1,056$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3422551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over73c1,038$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Under1c1,031$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over72c1,023$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.451,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf452…4d43backed Over49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.411435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b2e…716bbacked Over74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2602646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31013155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3cf…6207backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003435.3%12 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…3385backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-77.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42a…87d6backed Under54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1526…bad2backed Under56c999.98$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.991346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Under55c999.96$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Under56c994.16$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.731020%2 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-66.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.