TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3ca9…062dbacked Yes25c10,607$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes11c5,539$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.032,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes18c4,874$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.431735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No77c3,472$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.8434249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c3,400$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed No80c2,563$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.697653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed No56c2,397$1,341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.637153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No76c2,307$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.732,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No77c2,244$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.224,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes41c1,596$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.342,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes41c1,518$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.562,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2739…fd7cbacked Yes20c1,515$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009135.2%32 W · 59 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No75c1,104$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.942,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc1e8…fdd3backed Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x102f…1162backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes11c993.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.952,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No80c795.63$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.1335150.7%178 W · 173 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Yes10c764.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No80c736.81$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.367761%47 W · 30 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes22c572.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.242888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Yes18c560$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.87027.1%19 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed No80c550$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3c…83e6backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked No49c513.3$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.358062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked No78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Yes21c438.34$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4306.7%2 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-5.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c399.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.851,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d68…4354backed No66c380.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.016253.2%33 W · 29 L+10.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+66.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes22c361$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.121,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed No58c359$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.746446.9%30 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x703e…8badbacked Yes6c331.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+145.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9392…a5fcbacked Yes21c276.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed No68c264.02$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.496246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No77c250$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.51,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes41c241.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes10c221$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked No69c214.55$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.564751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes9c211.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aec…bdbfbacked Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked No80c185$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3720053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No79c162.21$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.383,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb9f…8016backed Yes22c145.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No60c139.65$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.386061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ae…3f78backed Yes21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+90.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac9f…77cfbacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd520…7db7backed Yes19c109.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked No64c108.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.972365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No62c100.58$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.227346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206536.9%24 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2057252.4%300 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce2f…b499backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020340.4%82 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b20…2f94backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020729%60 W · 147 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d4…5ee8backed Yes21c97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.374418.2%8 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-47.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff8…fdeabacked Yes20c95.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe185…de06backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204314%6 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d91…f6dabacked Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013633.1%45 W · 91 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes18c95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes21c81.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1111331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe164…56c1backed Yes20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…bce7backed Yes20c69.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.87944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No78c68.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8432855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes20c68.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.711,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes24c58.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa334…55fabacked Yes21c57.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257b…0e25backed Yes21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b1…9888backed No61c52.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9897…5303backed Yes20c50.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd5…8088backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103545.7%16 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4369…4e32backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a6…7708backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106418.8%12 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-30.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d530backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4968…19d4backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d8b…c024backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No77c48.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0819545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f29…4048backed No80c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes33c41.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.735619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed No78c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.053759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+48.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes52c26.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.732,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No80c23.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.7683153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No74c18.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.932,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.