Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ea4ed4b9c6b89a806af67dfbbc90d3c360ece573ddeb7cf0b1fedcb75a54215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 67c | 3,514$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.49 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 2,388$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.96 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8de…3111backed Over | 43c | 2,331$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 57c | 2,067$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.65 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 20c | 1,706$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.51 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 27c | 1,637$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 1,568$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x875f…aaddbacked Over | 41c | 1,566$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 9c | 1,066$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 40c | 1,002$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.32 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 632$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 18c | 595.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 21c | 450$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 23c | 407.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 198 | 38.4%76 W · 122 L | -18.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 400.6$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…1d22backed Over | 19c | 380.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Over | 38c | 377.08$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 120 | 28.3%34 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 77c | 338$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 79c | 316.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 64c | 277.77$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 36c | 277.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Over | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5255…b8c3backed Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 40c | 185.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 182.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f7…c709backed Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…53e4backed Over | 21c | 143.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 31.3%35 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…87aabacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 125.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 60c | 120.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 19c | 117.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…0367backed Over | 16c | 109.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 64 | 23.4%15 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 31.5%23 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…2913backed Over | 21c | 95.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…76babacked Over | 20c | 89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…73a8backed Over | 38c | 77.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…dc5abacked Over | 48c | 52.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 80c | 50.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c427backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…e520backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Over | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…e911backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d98…7900backed Over | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 63c | 36.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca46…43e5backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…c411backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Over | 45c | 22.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…1cf7backed Under | 72c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.