Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f11a0081f2c316d52ef15f0124ef584d248366a490abc806ea3225b481ad5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Over | 68c | 100,000$67,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,010 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Under | 35c | 6,853$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.79 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 61c | 5,678$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.46 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 68c | 5,673$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 4,936$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 34c | 4,848$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.98 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Under | 32c | 4,243$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.79 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 3,365$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.22 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 68c | 3,229$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.55 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Under | 35c | 3,114$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.86 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,404$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over | 68c | 1,999$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.73 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 45c | 1,860$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Under | 54c | 1,848$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Over | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 34c | 1,658$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.52 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 57c | 1,366$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.32 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under | 32c | 1,361$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.36 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 32c | 1,295$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…4ee0backed Over | 68c | 1,279$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.39 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 1,230$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 66c | 1,226$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.92 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…5f16backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…353cbacked Over | 67c | 787.36$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…aa3fbacked Over | 69c | 784.43$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 32c | 774.96$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.36 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Over | 45c | 764.96$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.83 | 103 | 28.2%29 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 67c | 750.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.34 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…b8acbacked Over | 68c | 733.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…55e5backed Over | 42c | 699.98$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bb…3661backed Over | 68c | 697.74$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.28 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…f52abacked Over | 47c | 654.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 45c | 645.77$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.17 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 34c | 625.25$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.59 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb285…68d3backed Over | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 101 | 69.3%70 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 31c | 598.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Under | 54c | 533.46$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 65c | 516.79$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.88 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Over | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Over | 68c | 461.34$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.83 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Under | 31c | 444.69$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Over | 44c | 385$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.4 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 68c | 384.79$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…423abacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 32c | 349.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 313.61$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 32c | 299.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…daa8backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…f0efbacked Over | 68c | 296.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbb…de86backed Over | 68c | 294.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…7ebebacked Over | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 53c | 288.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 39c | 253.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Under | 35c | 229.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 68c | 218$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 67c | 216.45$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed68…3555backed Over | 70c | 215.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…4f65backed Under | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Under | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 265 | 37.7%100 W · 165 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 164 | 65.2%107 W · 57 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 150 | 43.3%65 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Under | 35c | 199.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 67c | 199.2$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 47c | 197.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…dcaabacked Under | 59c | 184.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c9…dd6fbacked Over | 68c | 177.36$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 31c | 177.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 368 | 38.6%142 W · 226 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 171.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 68c | 171.84$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 34c | 158.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 34c | 152.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4003…f1dabacked Over | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1205…13e2backed Over | 68c | 147.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…db85backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2217backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 58 | 79.3%46 W · 12 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 179 | 62.6%112 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…be28backed Over | 68c | 146.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Over | 67c | 145.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 68c | 142.85$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 33c | 142.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…dcb4backed Over | 60c | 128.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…fba2backed Under | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 32c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 275 | 54.5%150 W · 125 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…4ef4backed Under | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f04…8c19backed Under | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Over | 67c | 111.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Over | 58c | 108.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Under | 51c | 106.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…6d16backed Under | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…fa62backed Over | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +63%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9d…a0bcbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 96.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: Netherlands O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 3.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 6.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.