TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Over68c100,000$67,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,01017034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under35c6,853$2,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.795360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over61c5,678$3,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.4674752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over68c5,673$3,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under33c4,936$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.23,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under34c4,848$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.982,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under32c4,243$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.797337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under36c3,365$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.224,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over68c3,229$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.555959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under35c3,114$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.869551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02043248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c2,404$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over68c1,999$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.7322643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under45c1,860$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.162,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7042…c72bbacked Under54c1,848$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007147.9%34 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Over68c1,765$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7117751.4%91 W · 86 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under34c1,658$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5915650%78 W · 78 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under57c1,366$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.321,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Under32c1,361$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3622846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under32c1,295$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.651,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Over68c1,279$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.394050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under32c1,230$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.382,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over66c1,226$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.922,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Over45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.894751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa112…353cbacked Over67c787.36$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2145…aa3fbacked Over69c784.43$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.971145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under32c774.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.363,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Over45c764.96$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.8310328.2%29 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over67c750.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3416655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3275…b8acbacked Over68c733.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1310762.6%67 W · 40 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda5b…55e5backed Over42c699.98$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.993253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3bb…3661backed Over68c697.74$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.282352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f6d…f52abacked Over47c654.77$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.051040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over45c645.77$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under34c625.25$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5936247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb285…68d3backed Over67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19810169.3%70 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under31c598.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4386452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Under54c533.46$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.381421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over65c516.79$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17519545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over68c461.34$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8344144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under31c444.69$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8516633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3803…7eafbacked Over44c385$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.420850.5%105 W · 103 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over68c384.79$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1318548.1%89 W · 96 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…423abacked Under57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006053.3%32 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+55.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under32c349.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c313.61$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under32c299.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.251,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Over67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5113157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36d…f0efbacked Over68c296.09$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.097556%42 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfbb…de86backed Over68c294.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.246251.6%32 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183b…7ebebacked Over68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.124148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over53c288.03$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under39c253.53$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.241,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Under35c229.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Over68c218$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7620053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3920224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c91…b4d2backed Over67c216.45$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.438661.6%53 W · 33 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed68…3555backed Over70c215.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.292161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ab…4f65backed Under34c205.88$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703915.4%6 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6826537.7%100 W · 165 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7016465.2%107 W · 57 L+15.1wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6415043.3%65 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Under35c199.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9710245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over67c199.2$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.7410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Over47c197.69$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6921240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a2…dcaabacked Under59c184.35$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c9…dd6fbacked Over68c177.36$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2614262.7%89 W · 53 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under31c177.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under32c171.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over68c171.84$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.994148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under34c158.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under34c152.32$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6148152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4003…f1dabacked Over67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.57631.6%24 W · 52 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1205…13e2backed Over68c147.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.635653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc5…db85backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.064055%22 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8221…2217backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065879.3%46 W · 12 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0617962.6%112 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0086…be28backed Over68c146.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a57…ac32backed Over67c145.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9914148.2%68 W · 73 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over68c142.85$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7170948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under33c142.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.741344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x693a…dcb4backed Over60c128.06$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.065018%9 W · 41 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-9.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fe3…fba2backed Under52c126.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under32c125$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.614750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Under55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6627554.5%150 W · 125 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Under34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f04…8c19backed Under35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over67c111.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.787058.6%41 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.412846.1%59 W · 69 L-12.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6919…da67backed Over58c108.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8213357.1%76 W · 57 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c9…3c2dbacked Under51c106.34$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ed…6d16backed Under34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b7…fa62backed Over68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.942846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9d…a0bcbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed Over68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328846.6%41 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under20c96.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.42,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.